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    DESPITE a less-than-spectacular North American opening weekend, The Golden Compass is performing vibrantly in other territories.

     
    By Josh Friedman
    Los Angeles Times
     

    THE Golden Compass topped the weekend box office with an estimated $26.1 million in US and Canadian ticket sales, New Line Cinema said Sunday, although the costly fantasy film struck less gold than the studio had expected.

    The picture, seen as the start of a potential blockbuster franchise in the Lord of the Rings vein, got a warmer welcome overseas, pulling in $55 million abroad for a worldwide total of $81 million, New Line said.

    “We were hoping for a little better domestically but the international numbers were solid,” said Rolf Mittweg, New Line’s president and chief operating officer of worldwide distribution and marketing.

    As of last week, the studio had been looking for a North American opening in the range of $30 million to $40 million for the film from writer-director Chris Weitz.

    The PG-13 movie, based on the first book in British author Philip Pullman’s acclaimed His Dark Materials trilogy, was the only wide release to hit the marketplace, and it set the pace for another dismal weekend at the box office overall.

    Results were down from the corresponding weekend in 2006 for the fifth straight time, according to Media by Numbers. It was not the kind of news Hollywood was hoping for in the face of an increasingly bitter writers’ strike that looks as though it could drag on for months.

    Walt Disney Co.’s modern-day fairy tale Enchanted held up firmly in its third weekend, taking in an estimated $10.7 million to rank No. 2. The mix of animation and live action, starring Amy Adams, has racked up $83.9 million through three weekends.

    With the holiday season in high gear, two Christmas-themed movies are continuing to attract family audiences. Sony Pictures’ ensemble drama This Christmas and Warner Bros.’ comedy Fred Claus came in third and fourth with about $5 million apiece, based on studio estimates.

    New Line acknowledges spending $180 million to make The Golden Compass, starring Nicole Kidman, Daniel Craig and newcomer Dakota Blue Richards, although industry sources speculate that the picture’s true cost soared above $200 million in postproduction.

    Reviews have been mixed for the film, about a 12-year-old girl who journeys to a parallel universe to save her best friend and other kidnapped children from experiments conducted by a mysterious organization.

    Whatever the picture’s cost, New Line hedged its bets by selling off foreign distribution rights, the same strategy the studio has used with The Lord of the Rings and, for that matter, most of its major productions.

    Mittweg said that between those foreign territory sales and the eventual revenue from the DVD and television markets, New Line could turn a profit on the picture. “It looks like we’re going to come out ahead,” he said.

    Even so, Mittweg was noncommittal about the studio’s tentative plans to make two sequels, The Subtle Knife and The Amber Spyglass, based on the rest of Pullman’s series.

    “It’s impossible for us to talk about sequels at this point,” he said. “It all depends on the grosses.”

    He noted that The Golden Compass had yet to open in 30 foreign territories, including Japan, Italy and Australia.

    Still, Compass will soon face fierce competition for broad audiences.

    Several big holiday-season movies are coming, including the Will Smith thriller I Am Legend this Friday and the Nicolas Cage sequel National Treasure: Book of Secrets on December 21.

    If Compass falls off sharply, it could end up generating less than $100 million in domestic ticket sales—a result that would be seen as a major embarrassment for New Line.

    But if the movie holds up respectably, especially overseas, it could rake in about $400 million worldwide. That wouldn’t make it a blockbuster like The Chronicles of Narnia or the Lord of the Rings or Harry Potter films, but it would be far from disastrous.

    Despite New Line’s two hits this year with the musical Hairspray and the action-comedy Rush Hour 3, the studio has struggled with most of its slate.

    The disappointing opening for Compass will probably spark renewed speculation about the studio’s future under corporate parent Time Warner Inc., which also owns Warner Bros.

    “In an increasingly difficult film environment, Time Warner needs to collapse New Line into Warner Bros.,” Richard Greenfield, an analyst at Pali Research in New York, said Sunday. “It’s making less and less sense to have duplicate overhead.”

    Profits at most Hollywood studios have suffered in the last three years as DVD sales, which helped fuel growth during the late 1990s and earlier this decade, have flattened.

    Unlike specialty divisions at other studios, such as Disney’s Miramax and News Corp.’s Fox Searchlight, New Line focuses on mainstream fare rather than art-house titles, so it is seen as similar to its larger sibling, Warner Bros.

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