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  • 10-month ‘hot money’ inflows
    exceed last year’s $3.2-B total
    By Jun Vallecera
    Reporter

    PORTFOLIO investment, more known as speculative or “hot” money, poured inward in such volume the past 10 months it already pushed past last year’s net inflows totaling $3.205 billion.

    As at October 26, portfolio inflows already reached a total of $3.651 billion, or 97 percent higher than the year-ago total of only $1.847 billion, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) data show.

    Such flows also helped push stock- market prices 28.3 percent higher in peso terms and 47.5 percent higher in US-dollar terms at end-November.

    The BSP reported gross portfolio flows surging 130 percent higher this year to $13.295 billion, the foreign fund managers having been lured by the country’s continuously improving macroeconomic numbers and far cheaper equity prices than those obtaining elsewhere.

    Gross portfolio inflows for the period last year amounted to only $6.058 billion.

    Rey G. David, president and chief executive at the state-owned Development Bank of the Philippines, said such flows have been unidirectional
    in the sense that there had virtually been no foreign fund outflows the past many months.

    “Except for the foreign tourists who have run out of cash and the oil companies who need it for the purchase of the commodity, there is hardly any dollar outflows we can speak of,” David said in a telephone interview.

    As a result, he quickly added, the country’s stock of foreign currency reserves rose to record-high levels totaling $32.4 billion as of October.

    There had been gross outflows totaling $9.643 billion during the period, but this paled in comparison to gross inflows hitting $13.295 billion, data show.

    The “hot” money inflows, in conjunction with foreign direct equity and the remittance activities of millions of overseas Filipino workers, helped dampen the punitive impact of the surge in oil prices, which threatened to stay above $100 per barrel very briefly.

    More important, the BSP said, the influx of foreign funds helped stabilize prices, particularly for November when food-related items as well as oil caused inflation to move significantly higher compared to October.

    Inflation averaged 3.2 percent in November, or past the high mark of only 3.1 percent forecast by BSP Governor Amando M. Teteangco Jr.for the period; and the fourth time inflation moved up the scale this year.

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