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    Stocks gain on US economic data
    By Ian C. Sayson
    Bloomberg
     

    PHILIPPINE stocks Thursday rose for the sixth day, climbing the most in two months, after US productivity and labor data suggested a recession may be averted in the Southeast Asian nation’s biggest market for goods and labor.

    Ayala Corp. and Bank of the Philippine Islands, also known as BPI, paced gains among the nation’s biggest companies on speculation the US Federal Reserve will cut rates this month, helping the world’s biggest economy avoid a slump.

    “It is safe to assume the US will cut its rates, and that will give the Philippine central bank more leeway to cut its own interest rate,’’ said Rico Gomez, who helps manage about $1 billion in assets at Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. “These cuts will increase liquidity, and some of those funds will go into equities.’’

    Manila Water Co. advanced for the third day and closed at a high, after a newspaper reported that it submitted bids for projects outside the Philippines.

    The Philippine Stock Exchange index jumped 85.25, or 2.3 percent, to close at 3,733.96, rounding a 6-percent, six-day rally. The 32-member stock benchmark posted its biggest gain since October 8 when it capped a six-day rally with a 2.6-percent gain that day. The measure climbed to its highest since November 7.

    Ayala, the second-largest Philippine company by market value, gained P35, or 6.3 percent, to P590, its biggest advance since August 21. Bank of the Philippine Islands, the nation’s No. 1 lender by market value, added P2.50, or 4.1 percent, to P64, its steepest rise in three weeks. Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co., the largest company by market value, rose P65, or 2.1 percent, to P3,125, a two-month high.

    US stocks overnight rose to the highest in a month after the Labor Department said worker productivity climbed the most since 2003 in the third quarter while labor costs posted the biggest drop in four years. Companies last month added 189,000 jobs, more than triple the average forecast, a report from ADP Employer Services showed.

    Separately, federal regulators and US lenders agreed to freeze interest rates on subprime mortgages for five years to fend off foreclosures, a person familiar with the measure said.

    Futures are pricing in a 58-percent chance of a quarter-point cut to 4.25 percent when the Fed meets on December 11. The odds of a half-percentage point cut in the Fed’s target for the overnight lending rate between banks are 42 percent, futures contracts show.

    “A rate cut will boost liquidity, helping generate more economic activity and stave off a recession in the US,’’ said Astro del Castillo, managing director of Manila-based First Grade Holding Inc., a financial management and advisory company. “A recession in the US will hurt us because the US is our key trading partner.’’

    Manila Electric Co., the largest Philippine power retailer, increased P6, or 7.3 percent, to P88.50, its biggest gain in three months. International Container Terminal Services Inc., the biggest Philippine port operator, which has investments in China, the Middle East and Europe, added P2, or 4.6 percent, to P46.

    The Philippine central bank, which has cut its benchmark interest rate a fourth time this year to help curb gains in the peso, will meet on December 20. Philippine inflation will be below this year’s target, central bank Governor Amando Tetangco Jr.  said Wednesday after consumer prices in November accelerated to the fastest in 10 months. Tetangco’s outlook boosted speculation the central bank will again lower interest rates.

    Separately, Manila Water, which serves the eastern half of the Philippine capital, added 25 centavos, or 1.4 percent, to P18, extending a 6-percent advance in the past two days.

    The company made bids to manage sewage and water distribution systems in Hong Kong and Vietnam for 10 and six years, respectively, according to a newspaper report.

    Shares worth P5.20 billion were traded on the benchmark index, 4.9 percent less than the six-month daily average. More than two stocks advanced for each that declined in the broader market.

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