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    Apple bucks trend as stores
    show ‘gravitational pull’
     
    By Connie Guglielmo
    Bloomberg
     

    SAN FRANCISCO—Cheng Jian Wei, on a 24-hour visit to New York from China, was willing to risk missing his bus to the airport for the chance to buy his son an iPod at Apple Inc.’s Fifth Avenue store.

    His determination helps explain why Apple’s 178 US stores may outshine other retailers in what is shaping up as a lackluster holiday selling season. The National Retail Federation predicts a 4-percent revenue gain in November and December, the smallest since 2002, after consumer confidence fell.

    For Apple, analysts forecast a 31- percent jump in total sales this quarter to $9.31 billion as customers snap up iPods, iPhones and Macintosh computers. Apple is making shopping easier with concierges at the door, portable devices that speed checkout and express bays stocked with its most popular items.

    AN Apple Computer Inc. logo hangs in the center of a clear glass cube marking the entrance to the new Apple Store in New York. The store opens to the public 24 hours a day. (below) A shopper samples the new red iPod nano at the Fifth Avenue Apple Store in New York City . --BLOOMBERG

    “They now produce some of the most-wanted products on the planet,’’ said Maggie Gilliam, a retail consultant at New York-based Gilliam & Co. “The idea of getting one of these supersexy products at one of these cool stores has great appeal.’’

    Apple opened its first retail outlet in May 2001 to boost visibility of the Mac, the personal computer that generates half its sales. The 203 Apple stores around the world may draw 39 million shoppers this quarter, estimated David Bailey, an analyst at Goldman, Sachs & Co.

    The risk may be that consumers’ holiday spending slows after the US Thanksgiving weekend’s strong results, Bailey said. Apple shares have more than doubled this year and need a “continuous dose of earnings,’’ he said.

    Goldman’s Bailey projects holiday sales of 2.22 million Macs, bucking the typical decline in sales after the back-to-school season, when Apple sold a record 2.16 million machines. The New York-based analyst recommends buying Apple shares.

    More than half of those who bought Apple computers in the third quarter were making their initial purchase of a Mac, the company said. Apple’s retail sales in the quarter rose 42 percent to $1.25 billion, 20 percent of the $6.22 billion total revenue.

    This month, blue-shirted, clipboard-carrying concierges began greeting and directing visitors to help handle the holiday rush.

    “We have many customers coming into our stores for the first time,’’ said Ron Johnson, a former Target Corp. executive who joined Apple in 2000 to lead its retail strategy. “We think a friendly welcome at the front door will make a difference.’’

    Apple doubled the number of portable checkout devices, allowing any staff member to ring up sales from the floor. More than half of transactions are completed that way, Johnson said in a November 15 interview.

    Apple also set up express bays before November 23, the day after the US Thanksgiving holiday that is considered the start of the American holiday shopping season.

    The bays, which it first used last December, are stocked with iPods and Macs so customers can purchase products quickly.

    For the first time, Apple is selling its personal-training program as a gift, Johnson said. For $99, users get a year of hourlong, one-on-one weekly sessions on Apple products. That’s in addition to its Genius Bars, where technicians offer repairs and advice.

    Apple is adding 40 stores in fiscal 2008, including its first in Beijing, Johnson said. Gene Munster, an analyst at Piper Jaffray & Co. in Minneapolis, said having its own stores draws new customers to Apple’s brand and keeps them coming back.

    Munster observed “what can best be described as a gravitational pull the stores had on mall shoppers’’ during the Thanksgiving weekend, he wrote in a note to investors. He has advised buying Apple shares since June 2004.

    Shoppers bought about 5.3 Macs an hour last weekend, compared with 4.3 in August, he said. Most Mac buyers visit the store again within three months, Munster said. Shoppers at Best Buy Co., the largest US consumer-electronics retailer, don’t return until they get another PC, typically two years later, he said.

    Cheng, part of a delegation of government officials visiting the US from China’s Zhe Jian province, bought his 16-year-old son an iPod Touch. He said he went to the Apple store with less than an hour before his bus departed for the airport because the products are “high-class.’’

    The Fifth Avenue shop is the only one that operates 24 hours a day, seven days a week. At 3:30 a.m. on a recent Saturday, clerks answered questions and fixed iPhones for a stream of customers while a janitor buffed the floor.

    “They’ve done a very professional job in creating a retail concept and getting it up to speed,’’ said Gilliam, the retail analyst. “It’s kind of a cool environment and you feel like you’re part of the in crowd.’’ (With reporting by Linda Shen and Denise Pellegrini in New York)

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