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    RP macroeconomic fundamentals improving
    but need to be strengthened, says ADB
     
    By Cai Ordinario
    Reporter
     

    THE country’s macroeconomic fundamentals may be improving in recent years but it needs to be strengthened further to weather downturns and external shocks, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB).

    The ADB said in its Country Assistance Program Evaluation for the Philippines Evaluation Approach Paper, it plans to extend additional loans for 2007 and 2008 to support the local government financing and budget reforms, a comprehensive justice program, and a follow-on on the agrarian-reform communities project. 

    “The [Philippines’] strength and capacity of [its] public and market institutional structures to manage downturns and shocks is still uncertain,” the ADB said in the paper.

    “The impact of past policies on import substitution and price controls and a legacy of ‘crony capitalism’ in the past led to industry concentration in several sectors,” the ADB report added.

    In addition, the evaluation report stated that “vested interests” were interlinked with banks, which limited competition, market reforms and discouraged private investment. The ADB said an example of this is the stake of dominant family business groups in the banking sector.

    Further, the ADB said the results of its 2005 study, titled “Improving the Investment Climate in the Philippines,” stated that corruption is a major concern for business and investors.

    “While reforms on meso-level constraints are advancing, continued market and nonmarket failures contribute to lower macro and microeconomic performance,” the evaluation report said.

    The report stated that while the Philippines’ gross domestic product (GDP) from 2002 to 2006 grew at an average of 5.2 percent, there was a low amount of foreign direct investments (FDIs) seen in the country.

    In recent years, the bank estimated that FDIs were only about 0.5 percent to 0.7 percent of GDP, which is relatively low compared with other countries in the region.

    The ADB cited the results of its 2007 report, titled “Private Sector Development and Operation: Harnessing Synergies with the Public Sector,” which recommended that competition laws need to be furthered to address problems of oligopoly.

    “While a consumer protection law is in place, a comprehensive antitrust law does not exist, and unfair trade practices are addressed through ad hoc legislation,” ADB added.

    The report also said that unemployment, underemployment and labor productivity remain to be a concern.

    The country’s labor-force growth rate in 2006 was 1.4 percent,, or only 35.8 million Filipinos, while the unemployment rate was at 7.9 percent.

    “Reasons include high minimum wage rates and moderately restrictive employment laws,” the ADB said.

    In terms of the country’s achievement of the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), the evaluation report stated that based on the joint ADB, United Nations Development Programme and the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific report on the MDGs, the government needs to start acting and act faster on nine targets included in the MDGs.

    The joint report stated that in terms of achieving the targets for primary school enrollment, the retention of children until grade 5, forest cover, minimizing carbon dioxide emissions, and providing water for urban areas, the country’s score was 4 which means no progress has been made or the results have been regressing.

    The report also stated that the government needs to act faster in reducing $1 a day poverty, underweight children, providing water for rural areas, and improving rural sanitation, which got a score of 3 which means the achievement of these targets were slow.

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