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“Higher oil prices and mounting political pressures,
combined with a bit of anti-Americanism and rapidly
growing demand for energy in the Asian market
[particularly in China], are stimulating producing
countries to increase control of their oil and gas
resources and move toward resource nationalism.”—--Pete
Stark, vice president of industry relations for IHS Inc.
and exploration geologist for Mobil
SO, the
government is thinking of selling 60 percent of the
Philippine National Oil Co.-Energy Development Corp., or
PNOC-EDC. For what? Because the government has failed
to meet its tax-collection targets and, therefore, would
sell some prized assets to compensate for its
incompetence?
We had
better be clear about our objectives because we might be
losing track of our long-term interests in favor of some
short-term gains. We should go easy on the privatization
trigger on this one. Or, as Senate President Manny
Villar Jr. counseled at Wednesday’s Quijano de Manila
Symposium, the key word to privatization is
“judiciousness.” In this case, you have to weigh both
the financials and the energy-strategy considerations.
This is
precisely the message of Sens. Joker Arroyo and Mar
Roxas who are pushing Resolution 203 urging the
government to “hold in abeyance” the bidding of the
PNOC-EDC shares worth P35 billion. Indeed, why sell a
prime state asset when it’s earning money for its own
business and some for the government? If we lose control
of the EDC, are we not abandoning our policy objective
of developing indigenous sources of energy with the
sale? Maybe, maybe not—but we first have to answer these
questions before we can even think of selling those
assets. And we do need lots of technical inputs in
making that decision. A November 21 auction date,
therefore, makes it impossible for the government and
its experts—if it’s even tapping any—to find out whether
or not we’d need to keep holding on to a strategic
60-percent stake in such a strategic company.
Privatization has its merits. If the company doesn’t
have much money, the entry of private investments could
translate to more cash for energy exploration and
development. Yet, in truth, the company has been doing
financially well and is projected to earn a net profit
of more than P7 billion this year.
Supposedly, private companies, especially if they are
those huge international oil companies (IOCs) like Royal
Dutch Shell, possess new technologies and management
expertise necessary to recover hard-to-reach and
hard-to-find oil or gas, something that could rub off on
our local oil and gas professionals, thus improving our
own capabilities. The Norwegians privatized Statoil,
their national oil company (NOC), and that policy
decision seems to be working just fine for them.
But then
again, privatizing NOCs has not always been the trend
globally. It’s because NOCs perform certain social
functions that are quite different from the IOCs’. While
IOCs are driven purely by the profit motive, NOCs
worldwide were often envisioned to ensure energy
security and sustain local economies. In other words,
NOCs, like our very own PNOC-EDC, are there to perform
certain long-term strategic national objectives.
This
role has even become more important during this “age of
energy-supply anxiety” characterized by the rapid rise
of energy demand from the Asia-Pacific region
(especially China); the continuing political
uncertainties brought about by terrorist threats to
energy infrastructure; production disruption in
oil-producing areas like Iraq; and declining access by
IOCs to proven reserves controlled by states in the
Middle East, Russia and Latin America.
There
is, in fact, a paradigm shift in the way NOCs are
behaving in response to this anxiety, said geologist
Pete Stark, vice president for Denver-based IHS Inc., an
energy and engineering think tank. It used to be that
NOC businesses were simply all about managing the
state’s energy resources for the country’s long-term
benefit. Now, NOCs—according to Stark—are becoming
international exploration companies, competing with IOCs
in the home as well as global marketplace. The extreme
manifestation of this paradigm shift is “energy
nationalism” where countries like Libya, Russia,
Venezuela and Angola moved to consolidate state control
away from IOCs.
What’s
the Philippines’ game plan, given these new global
realities? How would the selling of the country’s crown
jewels affect our chances of improving our indigenous
energy sources? Will privatization work for us during
this time of energy nationalism? It seems that the
government is not looking at these issues quite well, as
its mind is largely focused on getting the fresh
billions that the sale would generate. Yet, meeting
short-term fiscal balance this year will never be worth
the potential loss of a long-term strategic resource.
We are
concerned with the moral hazard that goes with this
sale. Privatization per se, granting that it’s done
properly and with great transparency, is a very good
policy. This is clear enough with water privatization
where, despite the problems with Maynilad, access to
potable water has ceased to become a political issue in
Metro Manila. But privatization could be a questionable
policy decision when the primary purpose is to collect
the cash to compensate for government failures
elsewhere, and improving the economic-policy environment
becomes secondary. The sale of PNOC-EDC seems to have
these characteristics.
What’s
to prevent the government from conducting a fire sale of
an available public asset every time the Bureaus of
Internal Revenue and Customs fail to collect the desired
amount of taxes? Indeed, if revenue bureaucrats could
sell anything every time they fail to do their mandate,
there would no longer be any incentive for policy
reforms. And when we run out of assets to sell, what
happens? |