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    British Airways premium traffic drops
     

    LONDON—British Airways Plc. said first- and business-class travel tumbled 8.6 percent last month as the credit crisis and economic slowdown led to job losses and tighter budgets in the City of London and Wall Street.

    Overall traffic declined 4.8 percent from a year earlier, the London-based airline said in a statement. Load factor, a measure of seat occupancy, fell 4.3 percentage points to 74 percent. Premium traffic had increased 2.2 percent in August.

    “It does look pretty bad,” said Jonathan Wober, an analyst at Société Genéralé SA in London. “If they continue to have traffic figures like this, their revenue forecast must be under threat.’’ Wober has a “sell’’ recommendation on the stock.

    Chief executive officer Willie Walsh said on September 24 that British Airways was bracing for a slump in travel in the lucrative North Atlantic business market as the global financial meltdown deepened. Financial institutions account for 13 of the top 50 business clients at Europe’s third-largest airline, which forecasts that revenue will gain 3 percent this year.

    British Airways fell 7.1 percent to 165.40 pence in London, taking declines this year to 47 percent and valuing the company at £1.9 billion.

    Premium traffic at the airline had previously held up better than coach-class travel even amid signs of slowing growth. Economy traffic declined 4.1 percent in September, the company said on Friday, less than half the rate of the premium decline. Ryanair Holdings Plc., Europe’s biggest discount airline, said also on Friday that it attracted 20 percent more passengers after adding routes.

    “Trading conditions continue to be challenging,” British Airways said. “Long-haul premium traffic has softened after the summer and forward bookings are being affected by the increased anxiety in financial markets and by the uncertain economic outlook.”

    Traffic to the Middle East also fell 12 percent in September due to the advent of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan, company Treasurer George Stinnes told reporters on a conference call. Last year Ramadan fell between September and October.

    While revenue forecasts for 2008 “carry some risk,’’ yields, or average prices, are good, the company said, while the strengthening of the dollar compared with the pound is offsetting the decline in passenger numbers. British Airways still aims to break even for the year at operating level, it said.

    “Any person that makes a forecast from next year is a very brave person,” Stinnes said. “Market conditions are tough, there’s no question about that.”  (Bloomberg)

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