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  • NSCB urged: Think out of the box
     
    By Cai U. Ordinario
    Reporter
     

    REPRESENTATIVES from various government agencies and the donor community urged the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) to look into the viability of other options to rid the Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) of data issues, and ease the agency’s problems with manpower and funding.

    In an open forum at the World Bank Assessment of the PSNA, participants urged the NSCB to focus on migrating its system to System of National Accounts 1993 (SNA 1993), the globally accepted standard for computing economic growth, and pooling its staff to focus on just one goal, which is migrating to SNA 93.

    Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) consultant Gilbert Valdepeñas Jr. also recommended that the NSCB seek BSP funding to help it come up with quality statistics. During the open forum, Valdepeñas said the BSP may be amenable to this given that the central bank is constantly in search of better statistics to use in monetary policymaking.

    Valdepeñas said this would be a better option particularly when the Department of Budget and Management refuses to grant the NSCB a bigger budget or stops it from hiring additional employees as part of the state’s cost-cutting.

    “There may be a way out if you [NSCB] are prepared to migrate to Chained Value Measures [CVM, which is a better means to measure real economic growth]. You can present this to the Monetary Board,” Valdepeñas said during the discussion.

    NSCB Assistant Secretary-General Estrella Domingo said the agency will include this in the statistical roadmap that it is creating, together with the World Bank. She also said the NSCB is already in the process of evaluating its own processes and options to improve the PSNA.

    In the draft assessment provided by World Bank’s Consultant Ross Harvey, the PSNA was hounded by data quality problems; the NSCB, meanwhile, was reported to be in dire need of manpower and new equipment. Harvey said that just before he conducted an assessment, one of the two servers of the NSCB crashed; its office computers were already eight years old.

    “The NSCB is in a difficult position. (It has) source data issues and quality concerns with the (national income) accounts and (it has experienced a) severe loss of staff resources,” Harvey said.

    Among the data issues faced by the PSNA, said Harvey, are limited price indexes such as wage rate indexes and producer price indexes for other industries; statistical discrepancies that involve large and variable issues for both current and constant prices; issues on the expenditure measure of GDP; inconsistencies with Input/Output Tables for 2000; and a limited range of seasonally adjusted series published.

    Furthermore, Harvey said the PSNA failed to adopt SNA93 and migrate to CVM. These, Harvey said, are crucial in coming up with improved and more accurate economic data.

    On the administrative issues, Harvey’s assessment showed the NSCB lost 60 percent of its national accounts staff, the group that computes the country’s economic growth.

    In 2002, the national accounts staff had 40 members but this was reduced to 33 by 2006; and in 2008, there were only 19 staff members. “[The] Economic Statistics Office in NSCB has suffered a very significant decrease in staff resources over the last few years,” Harvey said.

    The NSCB had proposed to the DBM the possibility of adding at least 27 staff members under a short-term rationalization plan and around 43 more under a long-term rationalization plan. This request, however, has yet to be approved by the DBM.

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