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    The Erap Ultimatum

    IT’S NOT ONLY ERAP’S FATE THAT IS AT ISSUE BUT ALSO THE FATE OF THE COUNTRY, SHOULD CONVICTION OR ACQUITTAL BE SEEN AS UNACCEPTABLE.

     
    By Adrian E. Cristobal
     

    Our world is not going to stop because of the Erap Ultimatum, but it’s anyone’s guess where it’s going when the Sandiganbayan decision is handed down. He’s quite adamant in his resolve not to accept pardon in case he’s convicted despite surveys showing that it’s what many sections of society want. The SWS survey was commissioned by the opposition, but it’s no secret that the administration is mulling over it. At the same time the administration has also inspired, if not engineered, full-page newspaper advertisements parodying Mayor Alfredo Lim’s favorite slogan: “The law is for all or none at all.” This is an appeal to the public to let the law take its course, a rather ambiguous appeal since Joseph Ejercito Estrada himself believes that the law is on his side in his protestations of innocence. Although he can appeal to the Supreme Court, the real worry is what’s going to happen if he’s convicted by the Sandiganbayan. This is the question raised in everyone’s mind by the Erap Ultimatum.

    Judging by the statements of both oppositionists and administration allies, between Erap’s supporters and his opponents, both sides have been preparing for the event. Their pronouncements are anything but subdued, thus raising the temperature as the fateful day neared. It’s not only Erap’s fate that is at issue but also the fate of the country, should conviction or acquittal be seen as unacceptable.

    The government has the legitimate force to quell any public disturbance. It has every right to use the necessary force to uphold the public peace and see to it that the law is enforced; but enforcing the law these days has become controversial, since many, especially Erap’s masses, believe that enforcement is selective. There has been no survey—and one wonders why—asking respondents whether they believe that the law will prevail in the case of the deposed President: he was deposed, forced to leave, but did not resign his office.

    In upholding his successor, the beneficiary of an extraconstitutional “mob” action—which, unlike the ouster of Marcos, did not get the unqualified approval of the international community—the Supreme Court spoke of a “constructive resignation” apparently under “scriptural jurisdiction.” That a Chief Justice and an Associate Justice would consult the Bible on a legal-political question looked to some heretics, if you will, like using tea leaves to come to a decision.

    The whole thing is a mess that needs a legal wizard to set right.

     

    The Erap Identity

    The political resonance of Erap’s arrest and trial follows from the mysterious identity of a Velarde in a bank account. The refusal of defense attorneys in the impeachment trial to have the envelope opened, sustained by majority of the senator-judges, provoked the resignation in a huff by the then-Senate President and Speaker of the House of Representatives, and precipitated (probably not spontaneous, but planned)  the street demonstrations and withdrawal of support by the defense establishment for Joseph Estrada. It turned out later that the envelope could be opened. People will remember this later on when another mysterious account in the name of a Jose Pidal was exposed in the Senate. All this have been told and retold by lawyers who reviewed Erap’s rise and fall.

    Erap rose to the presidency as the champion of the masses; he was deposed as a man who betrayed the masses, for that’s essentially what plunder and perjury mean. Voted into the presidency by 11 million, as he kept reminding the public, it needed only thousands to drum him out of Malacańang. This took less than a year to happen.

    But because the trial for plunder took such a long time—after all, this was the first time a President was arrested and prosecuted—the Erap identity kept changing through seven years: villain and victim, wrong and wronged against, visited by legions, making him less of an accused criminal and more of a political prisoner. From prison cell to mansion-arrest, he gave interviews and issued statements on the political situation, making him as much a “senior statesman” as his predecessor, Fidel V. Ramos, except that he doesn’t write a regular column: he didn’t need to, for he always got his media space.

                   

    The Erap Supremacy

    From a shattered identity came the Erap Supremacy. No one would admit now having inveigled his “Erap,” Fernando Poe Jr. to run for President, but there’s no doubt the late action hero was thought by his handlers capable of garnering more votes than Erap. This was an indication of the Erap Supremacy, that his landslide could be repeated by his close friend. FPJ’s popularity was so convincing that his campaign was closed by his handlers even to media, which, in turn, studiously noted his inaccessibility, if not arrogance, in the campaign trail. No matter, he was going to win anyway, and the concerned lords and ladies of Philippine society—the ABC sectors, and even some in the D and E—said in private that it was a “sacred duty” to cheat him.  There wasn’t much gnashing of teeth—in fact, there was even a sigh of relief—when FPJ lost, until the exposure of the “Hello, Garci” tapes, which is again shaking the political pot. To cynics, this is a farce: it’s all right to cheat to save the State, but not to be caught at it. This is just one instance of the Erap Supremacy.

    Another was stated by Erap himself: the electoral victories of his wife and his sons, not to mention those who were against him once but are now one with him. Visitors viewed the diorama “in a dark and dimly lit corner” of the Erap museum in his Tanay estate showing his unceremonious ouster from office, beginning with Edsa 2, through his “hauling off to jail in Camp Crame, Quezon City,” mug shots and all, and then to his Sandiganbayan trial. At the end of the presidential library and museum is Erap’s statement on his mortality: “He has constructed his marble tomb.” While visitors proved the saying that in politics there are no permanent friends and no permanent enemies, only permanent interests, the marble tomb reminded everyone, the mighty and the humble, the good and the bad, of his or her destiny.

    It’s also believed by the government that he has funded demonstrations, the 2003 Oakwood mutiny and political campaigns, for, before the elections, politicians trooped to his lair in Tanay.

    Recent interviews have painstakingly shown his good works in community assistance, including to wounded soldiers and survivors of dead ones, and foundations. One interview cited the pig-dispersal project that “changed the lives” of more than 200 families, the Erap sa Mahirap Foundation that gave postgraduate scholarships for Muslim students, and the Saludo sa Kawal Pilipino  (Salute to the Filipino Soldier) Foundation, which gave P500,000 each to the families of the 14 soldiers killed in Basilan. Whether it’s through the goodness of his heart or out of a desire to remain in the political limelight, these deeds have sustained, if not achieved, a considerable following. Where politicians are said to be lining their pockets, Erap is seen as emptying his.

    The Erap Supremacy is also acknowledged by the government prosecutor who said that the State will pursue a civil case against Erap regarding his billions of pesos in the bank and his properties.  Is he, therefore, presuming an acquittal, as in the famous case of O.J. Simpson, who, having been acquitted of murder, was prosecuted in civil proceedings? But Erap has been tried for plunder and perjury. If he’s innocent of plunder, how can his so-called billions and properties be legally at risk, since his box-office hits were many? Well, there may be the contributions his campaign attracted and which he did not have to exhaust. That’s a tricky area, for many other politicians will have the same problem under another dispensation.

    It’s another story, however, if he’s convicted, where again the Erap Supremacy will rear its troubling head. As a matter of fact, it has so many heads that it will take all the intellectual and material resources of the government to strike it down. Perseus had an easier time with Medusa.

    With the 20-20 vision of hindsight, the Erap trial should probably have been continuous and swift so as to deny him the opportunity of shining, without trying, at the expense of the administration that through the years found itself beset by controversies and, in media language, scandals. It has issued executive orders, clothed itself with executive privileges that, in less extraordinary times, would have been construed as obstructions to justice. There’s also the perception, probably unfair, that the only manifestation of the “Strong Republic” is its armed might and not its legal or moral authority.

                   

    No cause for joy

    But it would be a mistake to regard the Erap Supremacy as a cause for joy no matter how much anyone disapproves, hates, or resents the Arroyo administration. It’s not easy to gauge what demonstrations over conviction or acquittal may bring, but certainly there’s no consensual acceptance for turmoil in the streets. Should demonstrations occur, as they will, it’s the administration, the government, which needs to maintain a sense of balance. It should not, to begin with, counter with its own demonstrations.

    It will certainly not do for the administration to say that it cannot be responsible for those whom they will call “upholders of the law” and “believers of Erap’s guilt.” It will certainly not do for Erap to say, either, that he doesn’t have any influence on those who will demonstrate on his behalf and for justice. He can tell them to restrain themselves and wait for the outcome of his appeal to the Supreme Court in case he’s convicted. Perhaps our legal eagles, who are among the best in the world, can justify house arrest in the case of conviction of a “heinous” crime. After all, “plunder,” as has been pointed out before, is unique in the annals of jurisprudence. The last time it was used was on the Nazi leaders who plundered the treasures of conquered nations. Plunder was a war crime.

    Fortunately or not, this is the time for the Church, religious or evangelical leaders to speak vigorously on behalf of keeping the peace and exhausting all legal remedies in addressing the Erap Supremacy. They should not speak in political terms on a legal issue with deep political overtones. They should convince an entire people not to make of Erap’s case a defining moment that will justify drastic measures. Not even Erap himself would want chaos in order to bring home his point. In fact, he has already done so.

    He himself said that he had used every legal means available to defend himself not only because he believed in the justice system and the rule of law but because any social upheaval will only create further hardships for the Filipino masses.

    “I want to help them out of their misery, not add to it.” He added that if people will indeed come out in the streets, “it will probably be to celebrate with me as I regain my freedom.” But there’s where the problem lies. What if it’s a conviction?

    That’s why a religious leader’s statement that a pardon for Erap makes good sense is ill-advised. It does not reduce the level of conflict in the “societal climate” but elevates it instead, since the statement anticipates a conviction.

    The right approach to the Erap Ultimatum is that part of Erap’s statement: that any social upheaval will only create further hardships for the Filipino masses.

    OTHER STORIES
    The Erap Ultimatum

    Our world is not going to stop because of the Erap Ultimatum, but it’s anyone’s guess where it’s going when the Sandiganbayan decision is handed down. He’s quite adamant in his resolve not to accept pardon in case he’s convicted despite surveys showing that it’s what many sections of society want.

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