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    FVR skeptical high growth
    rate can be sustained
     
    By Recto Mercene
    Reporter

    FORMER President Fidel Ramos said Sunday the country may not be able to achieve the predicted 6.9-percent gross domestic product (GDP) growth by the end of the year because of the weakening contribution of the agriculture sector and an unhealthy reliance on remittances from overseas Filipino workers.

    After touting the country’s 7.5-percent GDP growth in the second quarter, President Arroyo was quoted as being confident a 7-percent growth rate for the second half of the year was attainable on the back of higher projections for the service and industry sectors.

    The government also expects the agriculture, fisheries and forestry sectors to rebound in the second half owing to the rains.

    But Ramos said the projected growth would fail unless many things are done, like Congress eliminating the “overprotective” features of existing laws and those in the Constitution.

    He said constraints to foreign investors are the lack of modern infrastructure—which swells the cost of doing business in the Philippines—and the absence of a corporate culture in the face of a globalized economy, preventing just-in-time delivery of goods.

    “So any jampacked roads, bridges, seaports and airports as we are seeing right now, like in the Naia 1, 2 and 3 are constraints to the movements of goods and services and people throughout and from the Philippines.”

    Ramos said that electric power supply could be another constraint. He cited the Asian Development Bank assessment that for the Philippines to be lifted out of poverty, “there should be a constant annual GDP growth from six percent to eight percent for the next nine to 12 years.”

    He said this timetable is already going beyond the Millennium Development Goal deadline of 2015.

    “In other words, if we want to reach our Millennium Development Goals, to which we are already committed, we must grow at even more than six percent to eight percent.”

    The former president said that to achieve such a high rate, the government must address the problems on many fronts, like policy structure and business culture in the country.

    Ramos, addressing his concern to Congress, said that with prodding from the Executive, the country must look into the golden opportunity and pass a less litigious reclamation law, following the landmark decision last August 15, upholding and validating as legal and constitutional the Smokey Mountain Development and Reclamation Project.

    He said opportunities lost are difficult to regain, but time lost cannot be regained, “and so for us to reach the stage where we should be, we must work double time.”

    Asked if the remaining three years of the Arroyo administration are enough to break the barriers to high GDP growth, Ramos said this is possible “if it really works 25 hours a day, eight days a week.”

    That means double time on many fronts, economic, social, cultural, security and international relations, he said.

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