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With
equities in the region slumping and currencies and bonds
volatile, small investors in Asia don’t have many places
to hide from the subprime rout.
They
could try I. Nyoman Masriadi, a 33-year-old Indonesian
painter, the price for whose canvases is holding strong
amid the bout of risk aversion that’s pounding Asian
assets.
Morgan
Stanley Capital International’s index for Asia- Pacific
equities has fallen almost 15 percent since July 24.
Most
Asian currencies have weakened, losing between 1 percent
and 10 percent of their value against the US dollar in
the past month. The Indonesian rupiah slumped to a
one-year low last week, as the gains this year in the
Singapore dollar and the Korean won disappeared.
The
price for a Masriadi painting, however, is rising.
On July
29, Larasati, a Jakarta-based auction house, sold his No
More Games for $45,000, four times the presale
mid-estimate. On August 12, with the global credit
crunch looking a lot worse,
Borobudur, another Indonesian auctioneer, sold The Billiard Player by
the same artist for $55,000.
This
will be reassuring to collectors at a time when
prospects for art don’t look all that good, globally.
Billionaire California collector Eli Broad, who, earlier
this year, forecast a crash such as the one that
occurred in 1990s, now says prices will soften because
“many of the buyers of contemporary art have been
hedge-fund managers and other investors who obviously
are having a difficult time and have lost lots of
money.”
Radar
blip
But
that’s precisely why the credit squeeze may not catch up
any time soon with Southeast Asian art, which, because
it is still rather cheap, has escaped the attention of
the financial crowd.
Hedge-fund managers in
New York
or London have had very little to do with Indonesian
contemporaries, such as Handiwirman Sahputra, Putu
Sutawijaya and Masriadi.
The
interest in their works—or in those of Thai artist Natee
Utarit and Filipino painter Geraldine Javier—is coming
from collectors who want to buy Asian art but can no
longer afford Chinese or Indian contemporary paintings,
which have become quite expensive to acquire, thanks to
a worldwide fascination with the culture of the world’s
two fastest-growing major economies.
Chinese
art is also being bid up by mainland collectors who,
flush from a liquidity-driven rally in the stock market
this year, have no dearth of cash to spend on
collectibles.
Some of
the pent-up demand for Chinese art is rubbing off on
Southeast Asian creations.
Rising
prices
“The
collectors and dealers who have missed the Chinese boat
are saying, ‘Hang on, here’s good art that’s only a 10th
as expensive,”’ says art consultant Valentine Willie,
who is advising an auction of contemporary Southeast
Asian art in
Singapore
in October.
There’s
no denying that prices of Southeast Asian art, too, have
risen rather steeply in the past few years. Three years
ago, a young artist such as Masriadi would have fetched
no more than $1,500, says Valentine.
In the
Christie’s Hong Kong auction, Javier’s The Absurdity of
Being sold for $36,850. That was a whopping 16 times
higher than the top estimate.
“Prices
just skyrocketed, mostly tripling the mid-estimates,”
Larasati said on its web site, after more than 90
percent of its works on offer got sold, the highest for
the auction house in recent years.
Even
after the recent price appreciation, Southeast Asian art
is still inexpensive compared with works by contemporary
Chinese artists, such as Zhang Xiaogang and Yue Minjun,
whose paintings now sell for hundreds of thousands of
dollars, as do those by Atul Dodiya, a Mumbai-based
Indian painter.
Little
to lose
Contemporary art is a speculative investment.
The
producer of artistic works, being alive, can respond to
burgeoning demand by supplying trash in large
quantities.
There’s
little risk of that happening in a hurry with the art of
Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Vietnam or the
Philippines.
Contemporary Southeast Asian art is nowhere near bubble
territory. Compared with the heady pre-Asian-crisis
days, the price commanded by the current crop of young
Southeast Asian painters and sculptors is chump change.
This may
be one asset where investors have little to lose. |