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New
energy czar Angelo Reyes would do well to take a
paradigm shift on the matter of energy and take the view
that what is inherently good for the previous department
he headed is not necessarily the right focus for the new
department he is in now.
While he
was able to correctly assess the problems confronting
the mining sector then—the entry of more investments and
environmental concerns—the energy issues are fraught
with uncertainties, the kind that now bedevils the stock
market.
Spewing
quite a mouthful the moment he assumed his new post, he
came out with cute statements on nuclear power, natural
gas and the revision of the Electric Power Industry
Reform Act (Epira).
That was
impressive; the quick grasp of the situation, signaling
his hands-on take on the energy issues, his rapid-fire
headline items on renewable energy and the resurrection
of the moth-balled nuclear power plant.
They
seemed cute, but there are other “headline” items that
should be given priority
First is
power supply. It may have been forgotten that the
capacities of power generators in the country have not
significantly expanded. Four years ago, capacities stood
at a mere 38,926 gigawatts per hour, of which 60 percent
is for Luzon consumption.
The
economy must have moved since 2003. And if those
capacities have not expanded, then a looming power
shortage is more real than imagined. Therefore,
Secretary Reyes should attend to the expansion of
generating capacities.
Taking
the beating in the stock market as a point of reference,
Secretary Reyes should dwell on the realm of
possibilities on the risks associated with an unexpanded
power supply. Any breakdown in one or two of the power
plants could cause energy shortages that could cripple
the country’s industries.
For
starters, the new energy chief might wish to investigate
why the privatization of the generation assets of the
National Power Corp. (Napocor) has not taken off as fast
as it should. He might wish to do a thorough probe of
the willingness of the Napocor bureaucracy to let go of
this gold mine and let the private sector run its assets
and expand its capacities.
The
Napocor privatization pace is way, way behind schedule.
It is a blessing that our economy had not zoomed as fast
it was initially projected. Otherwise, power supply
would not have coped with astronomical demand and, ergo,
result in blackouts.
Also,
Secretary Reyes should not rely too much on his
advisers, who are creating unreasonable expectations by
saying that amendments to Epira could bring about lower
power rates. This is too simplistic and betrays the new
energy boss’s lack of familiarity with the landscape of
the industry.
If he
wants to give us reasonable power rates, he must first
slay the Napocor dragon. We are reeling from the back
collection of Napocor rate hikes that are being
collected by distribution utilities now.
More
than 50 percent of our power bills is generation
charges. The secretary might do well to deal with
Napocor with an iron fist and give the consumers a
breather from expensive power rates.
Reduced
dependence on imported energy is another priority item
which Mr. Reyes may have failed to include in his
initial spew. Along this line, the new energy czar might
wish to revisit a government move to extract the rich
crude-oil deposit lying underneath the natural gas layer
of Malampaya.
He needs
to revive this soonest because that crude oil deposit
has a specific life span. After a certain period, it can
no longer be extracted because of reduced pressure.
Again, one of those uncertainty issues that one should
grapple with, especially for the energy sector, where
risk is much pronounced.
So,
before we become fascinated with energy from the sun,
the ocean, the wind and biomass, let’s get hold of what
is already staring us in the face. These should occupy
Mr. Reyes’s priorities: energy generation capacity
expansion and extraction of indigenous oil.
The
nuclear plant revival, for all its headline-grabbing
status, should be in the backburner for now; the most
important issues that should be tackled now is wrestling
with the possibility of energy shortages.
In all
of these undertakings, the secretary should realize
soonest that he needs all the help he can get if he
wants his programs to take off, both the cute and the
noncute ones.
The
energy sector just has too many stakeholders and is so
fraught with uncertainty issues. Besides the immediate
extraction of Malampaya oil, the lack of new capacities
could spawn power outages, the likes of which have been
unseen since 1992.
For
starters, we suggest the secretary to consider working
closely with Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago instead of
playing hardball with her. The senator definitely knows
what she is talking about when it comes to energy
matters and energy-related legislation. The new energy
chief must admit that at this point, Sen. Santiago’s
grasp of the energy sector is by far superior.
And
since it looks like the President would not change her
mind on Secretary Reyes’s designation to the energy
post, the former military general might wish to learn a
thing or two on the meaning of productive collaboration.
After all, that is what wins wars.
E-mail: hugagni@yahoo.com |