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    ‘US-like credit crunch not likely here’
     
    By Jun Vallecera
    Reporter

    BANGKO Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. has allayed fears the subprime mortgage loan debacle in the United States would infect local lenders and lead to tightening of credit.

    Tetangco said that in the universe of assets that Philippine banks own at the moment—totaling P4.37 trillion—less than a percent, or only 0.2 percent, equal to P8.73 billion, are invested in so-called structured instruments known as collateralized debt obligations or CDOs, which are similarly structured as the US subprime mortgages.

    Although CDOs are also an important source of funding for portfolio managers in the Philippines, “The banks are not exposed significantly in any way [to them]. There are only a few banks with small exposure in terms of CDOs,” said Tetangco on Friday.

    So while the mortgage mess in the United States affected Europe significantly, it could not happen in the Philippines, he said, adding that while there had been some effect, it had come indirectly in the form of “investor risk aversion” for instruments originating from emerging markets like the Philippines.

    “The exchange rate is under some pressure and weaker again [on Friday], much like currencies in the region except the Japanese yen. Markets in the region are also reassessing risks as this reappraisal continues,” said Tetangco.

    But he has no doubt about seeing a “positive impact on our markets” once the external (subprime) factor settles down and markets refocus on fundamentals.

    He previously reported that bank lending grew by 5.1 percent in June versus only 1.3 percent a year ago. “On a month-on-month basis, seasonally adjusted lending data posted a growth of 1 percent, a reversal of the 7.6-percent contraction registered a month ago.”

    Bank lending to all sectors of the economy, except manufacturing and mining, posted expansions during the period.

    The financial institutions, real-estate and business services sector grew by 6.5 percent year-on-year in June from a 13.7-percent growth in the previous month.

    Loans to the community, social and personal services sector, the wholesale and retail trade sector, and the construction sector grew by 13.2 percent, 4.7 percent and 8.7 percent, respectively.

    Lending to the agriculture, fisheries and forestry sector rose by 7.4 percent, while lending to the transportation, storage and communication sector increased by 12.3 percent, and 1.6 percent in the utilities sector. 

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