|
The case for trade is not just monetary, but moral.
Economic freedom creates habits of liberty. And habits
of liberty create expectations of democracy. —US
President George W. Bush in a speech on November 19,
1999
THE
other day, senior ministers of the Asia-Pacific Economic
Cooperation (Apec) agreed to review the proposed
free-trade area as envisioned by the Bogor declaration
in 1994.
This is
certainly a laudable move on the part of the senior
ministers, given two major developments lately—the
collapse of the Doha Round of trade negotiations, and
the acceleration of free-trade agreements between and
among members of Apec itself.
We
believe that a continuing global engagement to achieve a
breakthrough under the World Trade Organization is the
best thing that could ever happen to both developed and
developing countries. But given the current mood in the
developed world, especially the weakening commitment
toward multilateral trade initiatives among politicians
in the United States, as well as the increasing
political backlash against offshoring in that country,
it’s not likely that we could ever see the revival of
interest in the Doha development agenda soon.
More so
in Europe, where its leaders seem to have made a virtue
out of bashing globalization in a time when such a
phenomenon has started to metamorphose as a geopolitical
shift of power and influence toward the Asia-Pacific
region, especially India and China.
Given
the importance of American leadership in global trade
talks, we are only going to see a clear signal on the
prospects for multilateral engagements on trade matters
among the Americans and Europeans probably after the US
2008 presidential elections, when a new American
president is elected.
The
Asia-Pacific region, specifically the Philippines, could
probably not wait for that signal for us to discern our
own future. If we couldn’t have the best option,
therefore, we might have to settle for the second best—Apec.
Our active participation in this effort to review the
direction of Apec is crucial.
Apec
counts 21-member economies: Australia, Brunei, Canada,
Chile, China, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea,
Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea, Peru,
Philippines, Russia, Singapore, Taiwan, Thailand, the
United States and Vietnam.
These
economies account for more than half of global trade,
and the US, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Singapore,
Malaysia, Taiwan and South Korea account for 73 percent
of exports. Practically the same economies, plus
Thailand, account for 66 percent of Philippine imports.
These
numbers suggest that revving up investment and trade
among Apec members is generally favorable for the
Philippines, since most of its trading partners are
already within the organization. Besides, China and
India, the world’s fastest-growing economies, are part
of Apec. Hitching on their growth bandwagon would surely
be in the interest of the region and the Philippines.
Now that
the senior ministers are going to review how Apec does
its business, they might as well do a serious
soul-searching on its core principles.
Since
its founding in 1989, Apec has been operating on the
basis of “nonbinding commitments and open dialogues.”
Decisions are based on “consensus” and commitments are
undertaken as voluntary efforts. This approach sounds
virtuous, but it also means that Apec could probably
never create meaningful strides toward achieving goals
of the Bogor Declaration for a “free and open trade and
investment in the Asia-Pacific by 2010 for
industrialized economies, and 2020 for developing
economies” if it relies on nonbinding commitments.
Perhaps
it’s high time for Apec members to think about
converting the economic group from a mere “forum for
facilitating economic growth, cooperation, trade and
investments” and costume photo-ops for politicians into
a mean-business negotiating body.
Who
knows, the Europeans might yet again notice and buckle
down to reform dirigiste policies and rejoin the global
community for a fairer and more liberalized trading
system. If not, economic interaction within a dynamic
group of fast-growing economies is really not such a bad
idea. |