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    Gore: Tipping point near
    in global warming fight
     
    By Inday Espina-Varona
    Special to the BusinessMirror

    SINGAPORE—The world will see a new protocol to combat global warming two years before its scheduled passage in 2012, according to former US vice president Al Gore.

    Gore urged participants of the Global Brand Forum here to start retooling manufacturing and other activities to halt climate change.

    He forecast “more forceful action” from governments, even those that have been reluctant to address the problem.

    Aside from improving brand values by showing concern for the global village, Gore said political trends show the financial benefits of environmental reforms across industry.

    “Anticipate that governments are going to act,” said the Oscar winner for the documentary An Inconvenient Truth. While some polluters still wring their hands at the cost of limiting carbon emissions, Gore said other business leaders have shown that environmental concern can have positive effects on the bottom line.

    Norway, he pointed out, has shown the benefits of taxing carbon emissions. Faced with no options, that country’s oil drillers innovated and introduced technology that has brought that activity to zero-emission levels.

    The United States refused to sign the Kyoto Protocol addressing the need to lower carbon-dioxide emissions, but Gore said many state governments are acting on climate change.

    Six-hundred US cities have adopted the Kyoto protocol, which the Bush government rejected. The country’s top 10 corporations have also issued a joint demand for improved regulations to limit CO2 emissions.

    “Political will is a renewable source,” said the chairman of the Alliance for Climate Protection, who lauded a powerful grassroots movement for pressuring governments and industries.

    “There will soon be a new US president. Regardless of which party wins, there will be change,” Gore said. “Governments around the world will begin to act in more forceful ways.”

    “I am optimistic because politics, like climate, is nonlinear; change is gradual but if you reach the tipping point, change surges,” Gore said in a keynote speech that got a standing ovation from more than 700 delegates.

     

    Bottom lines

    Despite what he describes as a $10-million annual lobby fund by the world’s worst polluters, Gore says a new protocol, tougher than the current international agreement, may be in place by 2010. The Kyoto protocol provisions involve emissions up to 2012.

    Gore advised companies to invest in environmental issues as a way of improving their brand value.

    The impact of brands, he pointed out, are to a significant measure found in the way they make people feel.

    “There are business reasons for you to invest in the fight for global warming,” Gore stressed, adding that he was not asking corporations to renege on their responsibilities to shareholders.

    “My point is, it is to your business interest to be part of the solution,” the former US Vice President said.

    There is a growing demand for business to become a positive force for change, Gore noted. That includes how corporations treat their employees, the communities they do business with, and where they get their resources. “Companies ahead of that curve are seen as leaders, showing caring and concern,” he added.

     

    Changes

    Quoting scientists, Gore said failure to act on global warming could lead to catastrophe, especially in Asia, where the Himalayan glaciers facing life-giving rivers are fast retreating.

    In Bangladesh alone, he pointed out, the rise of sea levels by a meter would leave 17 million people permanent refugees.

    But Gore said other hard cases, like China, were showing a willingness to address climate change.

    He expressed optimism that China would reconcile growth demands with environmental challenges. He said new, innovative technology would allow the Asian giant to enjoy the high growth rates necessary for political stability.

    Environmentalists are calling for laws requiring big, mandatory reductions in carbon-dioxide emissions, the purchase of renewable energy by utilities and conservation measures like higher fuel efficiency standards.

    Lawmakers have responded to this call by advocating incentives for fuel efficiency and penalties for laggards. Even expensive lobbies by oil cartels—with the expected dire warnings of layoffs—have not stopped efforts to push ahead with research and the use of alternative fuel like ethanol.

    Gore said technological strides have made wind power competitive with more traditional forms of harnessing energy. Scientists are also focusing on harnessing solar power, he added.

     

    UN debate

    Gore’s optimism may not be too far off the mark.

    The United Nations General Assembly recently saw its first-ever plenary debate on climate change and UN Secretary-General Ban Ki Moon says the crisis is finally receiving serious attention.

    The UN official, from South Korea, warned representatives: “We cannot continue with business as usual. The time has come for decisive action on a global scale.”

    The UN will also have a landmark event in September, where heads of governments are expected to attend. The international agency will also host a meeting for the planned new convention on climate change in December and Gore will be there to push his message.

    Even US President George Bush is setting up a framework for countries that emit high carbon-dioxide levels, though environmentalists fear this could be a ploy to undermine the UN initiative.

    Even with fast changes, scientists still expect a 1.5-degree Celsius global temperature rise, which could exact a high price on lives and livelihoods. Scientists often cite a 2-degree temperature rise as the point of no return; and to forestall that, they urge a scaleback of emissions by 2015, less than a decade down the road.

     

    (Inday Varona is editor in chief of the Philippine Graphic magazine.)

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