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    Dry spell prompts lower target
     
    By Jennifer A. Ng
    Reporter

    THE Department of Agriculture (DA), owing to the near-drought conditions, is tempering its projection of a 4-percent to 5-percent increase for the farm sector this year, but did not give any new specific growth percentages.

    Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap said that achieving its original growth target this year would be “difficult. . . . Based on what we are seeing right now, it would be much harder for us to reach the target.”

    The National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) earlier said its growth target of 3.9 percent for the farm sector this year would hold, given projections that rice and corn production would continue to grow. Whether it has revised its view of the situation was not immediately known.

    Yap said a complete assessment on the impact of the drought, especially in Luzon, may be completed by October or November. Preliminary data indicate that four regions were hardest hit—the Ilocos Region, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Bicol.

    Among the main crops in the Ilocos Region and Cagayan Valley are rice and corn. Central Luzon, known as the rice granary of the Philippines, has palay, while the Bicol region is a major producer of coconut.

    Yap said they are looking for additional areas where palay could be grown to alleviate the shortfall in harvests in the affected rice farming areas. Earlier, he mentioned the Visayas and Mindanao as the most viable areas to take up the expected slack in Luzon production.

    The department had projected earlier that in a worst-case scenario of a dry spell lasting until the end of the year for Luzon, palay production would only grow by 1.5 percent to 2 percent, and corn by 2.5 percent to 3 percent this year.

    Rice and corn are the main crops that buoy the growth of the crops subsector, which accounted for almost half of farm sector production in 2006.

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