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With the
fall of the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) over the
last week, I have been frequently “e-mailed.”
Too
often, I am ignored. I wish I was as important and busy
as some people think I am. But I am not, and I usually
answer e-mails within the same day. In fact, if your
e-mail is waiting when I hit the computer at 6 a.m., you
can have my words of wisdom with your coffee and pan de
sal.
I bought
my first shares of Philippine stocks on November 27,
1989. Please believe that it was coincidental bad timing
on my part, and not that the coup was planned to just
make sure I lost money. Not my fault!
However,
let me make one thing perfectly clear. During the past
many years, I have not made one single centavo from
anything related to the PSE.
I do not
trade the market. I do not sell a stock-market
newsletter. I have never asked for free or discounted
shares or cash from companies before or after I mention
their stock in my public comments in the press or media.
I have
this ethical problem with conflict of interest that does
not seem to bother some others when they write about the
stock market. I offer my free and unbiased advice
because I happen to think that the stock market is one
of the greatest tools for wealth creation ever invented.
When I
read others saying that the market only benefits a few
and always only the rich, I do not waste my time
responding because I know that I am hearing from a
person who has no clue about what a stock exchange is or
why it exists. In truth, their understanding of the
market is that it is just like lotto, only the ticket
price is higher. They are fools.
One of
the major reasons that the United States is the largest,
strongest, wealthiest economy in world history is
because of its stock and financial markets. The crash of
the New York Stock Exchange in 1929 was not the market’s
fault. It was the fault of the banks, which tried to use
the stock market to further their own gains. The banks
overextended themselves offering loans to buy stock.
When share prices went down, as they always will in the
natural cycle of things, the banks had too many bad
loans and were broke.
It is
not unlike what happened to many banks in the
Philippines after 1997, with regard to the property
developers. The US government had to save the banking
system; the stock market came back on its own.
Is it
simply coincidental that when you look at a country with
a fundamentally sound and growing economy, you also see
the same kind of sound and growing stock and capital
markets? Of course not. Even China, with its “Wild West”
stock market, is an example of that idea. It crosses all
political systems also.
In
Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew was perhaps rightly
characterized as a “democratic dictator.” However, the
Singapore stock exchange was and is a freewheeling
capitalist market, notwithstanding the very strong and
proper safeguards against fraud, that, too, are part of
being sound and vibrant.
A stock
market is also the most visible indicator of a nation’s
wealth creation and strength. A vibrant stock market
gives a glimpse into the potential for the future, which
is not necessarily a predictor or prophet. Likewise, the
market can send up red flags for that same potential
future and should not be ignored.
Every
wealthy nation treats its capital and financial markets
with care and respect because it knows how vital it is
to its economic well-being. And countries that view the
markets as an afterthought or with little concern do not
become wealthy. That has been a major problem in the
Philippines, and it is about to change for the better.
You
sometimes ask why I never share the tips I hear. Well,
you can find those from many other places. But just so
you do not think I live in a cave on Mt. Makiling, two
IT companies will have a major joint venture by the end
of the year. Two companies that you have not heard of
for years are about to rise from the ashes. Another
listed company is about to be taken over by another
firm. There are two IPOs coming out later this year that
will offer price increases we have not seen for a very
long time.
Is all
this information true? Of course, until proven
otherwise. That is why it is sometimes financially
dangerous to trade on the chismis.
After
nearly eight years, I now intend to slowly begin a
course of more active participation in the stock market
and in the exchange. In the meantime, my cave is really
on Mt. Maculot, so e-mail me with your thoughts and
questions anytime. It gets lonely up here sometimes.
E-mail comments to mangun@email.com. |