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    ‘Dry spell won't dent agriculture growth’

    THE government is confident its growth forecast for the agriculture sector will hold despite the drought which threatens to cut farm growth.

    This, even as authorities conceded that besides scientific means for inducing rain, like cloud seeding, they also encourage people to pray and even carry out native rituals, as all signs point to the dry spell lasting until the end of September.

    Director Dennis Arroyo of the National Economic and Development Authority’s (Neda) National Planning and Policy Staff said, “3.9 percent was the forecast of Neda. This is a more conservative growth rate for agriculture, and this will hold despite the dry spell.”

    This projection, Arroyo said, has considered the P3-billion agriculture spending for irrigation, high-value crops, postharvest facilities and more facilties for biofuels.

    The Department of Agriculture (DA) earlier projected farm growth at 4 percent to 5 percent by the end of the year. However, due to the prolonged dry spell, economists said the projection may no longer be achievable and reduced it.

    Economists said the drought could cut production of main crops such as rice, since it is one of the most water-intensive crops and accounts for as much as 15 percent of total agriculture production.

    The DA said earlier palay production may only grow by 3 percent to 3.5 percent this year from its earlier target of 5.8 percent because of the impact of the drought on major rice-producing areas, especially in Luzon.

    Among the major producers of rice in the region are Cagayan Valley in Isabela and Nueva Ecija in Central Luzon.

    Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap said in an earlier statement the 4-percent to 5-percent full-year agriculture growth is achievable due to higher public spending for rural infrastructure such as irrigation and postharvest facilities designed to buoy productivity and reverse crop wastages that traditionally undercut farm output.

    Meanwhile, Arroyo said the country’s gross domestic product for the second quarter and the first half of the year will remain strong.

    He said the peak of election spending and the stock-market index both happened in the second quarter. Further, car sales, as reported by the Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines Inc., already exceeded manufacturers’ targets.

    Meanwhile, authorities are scraping the bottom of the barrel in their menu of options. On Wednesday meteorologists admitted that if all the cloud seedings won’t help, they’re willing to try prayers and rituals.

    In a weekly forum at Citio Fernandina at Club Filipino, director Nathaniel Cruz of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration urged Filipinos to pray and even encouraged the “natives” to do the ritual dance to call for rains.

    When asked if he will also ask the natives to do their ritual for rains and even the out -of -tune Filipinos to sing, Cruz replied, “all that we believe could bring rains, then let’s do it as long as it can help us with our problem now.”

    Cruz said that Visayas and Mindanao are experiencing huge amounts of rainfall because of “weird weather.”

    “It’s only here in Luzon where we have a dry spell. We’ve been having a little rain because of cloud seeding,” which Cruz described as “very expensive.”

    If conditions don’t change this month, Cruz warned of a possible drought in the next months.

    “As of now we don’t see any typhoon that will possibly hit the country; there is one but as of the moment, it is moving toward Japan,” he added.

    Meanwhile, he also called on people to save water.

    Relatedly, a lawmaker said it’s not just water that should be used prudently: it’s money as well. Apparently afraid that the P3.664-billion funds allocated for drought-mitigating measures might be wasted by hastily spending them for temporary and superficial solutions, a congressman called on government agencies on Wednesday to use the funds wisely and effectively.

    Nationalist People’s Coalition Rep. Vincent Garcia of Davao said in a statement: “They should not hastily close deals and implement projects without the necessary impact study. The funds should go to high-impact, short-term and long-term projects to address the drought problem. We should avoid Band-Aid or temporary and superficial solutions,” said Garcia.

    Garcia issued the call after President Arroyo ordered the release of funds for agriculture in Luzon. Garcia said government agencies should also pour aid to provinces that have suffered a heavy toll due to the weird weather.

    After La Union, the province of Isabela declared a state of calamity when more than 40,000 hectares of corn were damaged because of the heat.

    “We should provide subsidy to farmers’ groups and open easier access to farmers on loan facilities to help them sustain their farming activities despite the dry spell,” Garcia said.

    Nongovernment organizations sounded a similar call for prudent use of drought-mitigation funds. They urged the oversight committees of the Senate and House of Representatives to monitor the disbursement of the initial P644 million released by President Arroyo for Luzon farmlands affected by the dry spell.

    The Pambansang Lakas ng Kilusang Mamamalakaya ng Pilipinas (Pamalakaya) said the members of the oversight committees are constitutionally and morally obliged to monitor disbursement of the fund to avoid a repeat of the P725-million fertilizer scam in 2004.

    Pamalakaya national chairman Fernando Hicap underscored the need for transparency.

    Hicap called for the close monitoring of government funds after a group of anticorruption watchdog said big- time graft was on the rise under the Arroyo administration, referring to a report of Vincent Lazatin, executive director of the Transparency and Accountability Network.

    Pamalakaya said the P644 million released is way below the needed funds to address the drought and the reported destruction of crops. In Isabela province alone, the dry spell wrought P260 million in total damages to crops.

    “How about the affected provinces of Central Luzon and Northern Luzon and Ilocos Region? The budget is too small compared with the needed support funds,” Pamalakaya added. (F. Marasigan, C. Ordinario, C. Mocon, J. Mayuga)

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