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    MTPDP targets may not be met by 2010
     
    By Cai U. Ordinario
    Reporter
     

    IF the  national government continues at its present pace in achieving the targets set in the country’s economic blueprint Medium-Term Philippine Development Plan (MTPDP) 2004 to 2010, many of these targets may not be realized by the time the President steps down two years from now.

    In the latest version of the Statistical Indicators on Philippine Development (StatDev) released by the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB), the country needs to work harder to improve on the MTPDP targets on the financial sector, provision of basic health services to the poor, and in protecting Filipinos abroad through the creation of a responsive foreign policy.

    StatDev is a statistical indicator system to monitor the achievements of the economic and social-development goals set forth in the MTPDP.

    The indicators for 2004 to 2007 were compared with the MTPDP strategies/targets to determine the achievement of targets. This gauges the performance of the sectors during the plan period.

    The goal for the financial sector is to increase savings-to-gross domestic product (GDP) ratio to 30 percent by 2010 through the development of the financial market which will show an increase in investment ratio to 28 percent of GDP.

    In terms of increasing savings-to-GDP ratio, the NSCB said the country still had a long way to achieve the target ratio. From 2004 to 06, the NSCB said savings to GDP was pegged at only 18 percent, just a little over half of the target ratio.

    The investment ratios of the country is also not doing well since it posted decelerated growths from 2004 to 2006, indicating that it is, in fact, moving away from the MTPDP target.

    Another target set in the financial sector is to keep an average inflation rate of 4.5 percent for 2004-2006. However, the NSCB data showed that inflation was still short by 1.7 percent of the target by the end of 2006.

    Meanwhile, the target for gross value added (GVA) of finance is 6.9 to 7.4, or an average of 7.2 percent in 2004; 6.7 percent in 2005; and 6.5 percent to 7.5 percent in 2006.

    The NSCB data showed that this has been met since there was an unprecedented growth recorded in financial services because of the continued acceleration in 2005, with the actual values surpassing the targets.

    “The financial sector has grown in the last three years as evidenced by the growth GVA. However, there are still improvements to be done for the sector,” the NSCB said.

    On the other hand, the target set for the health sector is to respond to the basic needs of the poor through an improved health and nutrition status. While the past three years have shown some progress in achieving this, there are still several major concerns that should be addressed by the government.

    The NSCB said the targets where the country is doing poorly are the reduction of the maternal mortality rate to 90 per 100,000 livebirths; increasing the coverage of fully immunized children to 95 percent by 2010; reducing malaria morbidity rate to 24 per 100,000 population by 2010; achieving a 30-percent annual increase in Philippine Health Insurance Corp. (PHIC) accredited rural health units (RHUs); posting a 10-percent annual increase in the number of PHIC accredited doctors; and increasing access to safe-water supply to 92 percent to 96 percent and sanitary toilet facilities to 86 percent to 91 percent.

    “During the last three years, efforts through several programs and services have been made toward  the improvement of the health and nutrition status in the country. Based on some indicators, however, there are still a number of concerns that should be attended to for better health conditions of the citizenry,” the NSCB said.

    In terms of maternal mortality rate, the NSCB data showed that it is only slightly improving, but the pace at which progress is made to achieve it may not be enough to reach the target by 2010.

    The increase in the percentage of fully immunized children have also been slow. The growth has been flat at 82 percent to 83 percent in the past three years. This target, the NSCB data showed, may not also be met by 2010.

    In terms of decreasing malaria cases in the country, the NSCB data showed that the actual performance for 2004 and 2005 was below target. If this trend continues, the data showed, the target may not also be met in the next two years.

    On the other hand, the annual growth in PHIC-accredited RHUs exhibited a decreasing trend in the last three years, while the annual growth in number of PHIC-accredited doctors went down abruptly in 2006.

    PHIC-accredited RHUs were at 28 percent in 2004 but gradually declined to 26 percent in 2005 and 25 percent in 2006, while the number of doctors accredited by PHIC dropped to a growth of only 1 percent in 2006 from 13-percent growth in 2005.

    Meanwhile, the proportion of households with access to safe water supply decreased to levels that are way below target and the proportion of households with access to sanitary toilet facilities increased in 2005 but remained below target.

    In 2005  around 82 percent of households had access to safe-water supply, which was the same level in 2003 and represented a decline from 2004’s 83 percent.

    While the proportion of households with access to sanitary toilet facilities has increased to 74 percent in 2006, this was still below target. In 2004 the rate was pegged at 75 percent and in 2005, it was at 69 percent.

    On the other hand, there is also little progress in terms of enhancing economic security to protect the rights and promote the welfare and interests of Filipinos overseas.

    Only one target, increasing the number of business/trade missions facilitated to expand the Department of Foreign Affairs (DFA) diplomatic efforts during the four-year period, was achieved by the country.

    Around three of the targets recorded a poor performance from the country, while the rest, the country only recorded an average performance.

    Targets where the country performed poorly were in increasing the number of signed memorandums of understanding (MOUs) and memorandum of agreements (MOAs) that would facilitate economic diplomacy efforts on top economic posts; promotional materials and information provided to posts; and confidence-building measures and joint research undertaking identified and implemented.

    The NSCB data showed that the number of signed, MOUs and MOAs increased in 2005, but remained lower in succeeding years. In 2004  there were only two MOUs/MOAs signed, then significantly increased to nine in 2005. In 2007 MOUs/MOAs signed was pegged at three.

    In terms of increasing the number of promotional materials and information provided to posts, this only increased in 2007 to 1,610, after suffering big declines in 2005 and 2006. In 2004  there were as much as 2,310 materials, but this declined significantly in 2005 and 2006 to 921 and 595 materials, respectively.

    The number of confidence-building measures and joint research undertaking identified and implemented, on the other hand, were on a downward trend. In 2004 there were only two measures and joint researches done, but in 2007 there was only one done. Data from the DFA showed that there were nine in 2005 and seven in 2006.

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