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There’s
a lot of backslapping in
Hong Kong these days, and for obvious reasons. The 10th anniversary of
the
UK’s
hand-over of the city back to China takes place on July
1.
By most
accounts, Chinese rule has gone far better than
expected. Individual liberties have been largely
preserved and the Communist Party hasn’t destroyed Hong
Kong’s reputation as a thriving capitalist hub. Clearly,
the skeptics were wrong about the plight of its seven
million people.
Yet the
doomsayers may still have two reasons to be pessimistic:
pollution and Mickey Mouse.
While
these two topics are rarely thought of together, Hong
Kong is an intriguing nexus point. A decade after its
return to China, Hong Kong is literally choking on its
economic success amid worsening air quality. Leaders
also are relying too much on gimmick economics to
solidify the city’s place as a global business center.
The Disney theme park there is one example.
Hong
Kong cartoonist and author Larry Feign humorously
addressed this point. “Suddenly, it’s ‘We’re Chinese at
last, we’re part of China, Chinese people running this
place, colonialism is dead, good riddance to the gweilos,’”
he told the International Herald Tribune, using the
slang word for foreigners.
“Then as
soon as there is a little economic crisis, it’s ‘Let’s
bring in Mickey Mouse.’ So we go from British
imperialism to American cultural imperialism.”
Actually, the 1997 Asian crisis was anything but
“little.” It sent Hong Kong’s all-important property
market into freefall and had the government bailing out
stocks. Yet Feign’s point, as indelicate as it is, is
one that often gets overlooked.
Disneyland
Here’s
how fashion mogul David Tang put it to Agence France
Presse: “We frittered away the past 10 years. There are
so many things that make Hong Kong special, and they
have been ignored. Instead, our only achievement has
been Disneyland.”
Hong
Kong’s strategy is still essentially a diversification
play on China. Hong Kong is betting its future on
remaining a fund-raising hub for share sales by mainland
companies. On that front, so far, so good; its stock
market last year rivaled London in initial public
offerings.
That’s
great, until
Shanghai
comes into its own. And don’t forget
Singapore, which
is rapidly becoming a financial trading center for
everything from currencies to energy and metals.
Hong
Kong should be thinking about where it will be in 20
years, not celebrating dodging the bullet these last 10.
Its future can’t lie in getting mainlanders to become
more excited visiting Mickey Mouse, the government-owned
Ocean Park or the Guggenheim museum developers have
proposed.
Oligarchs
The city
needs to step up efforts to specialize in niche,
high-value-added and high-quality services. Empowering
small entrepreneurs and reducing the influence of
billionaire oligarchs towering over the city is a work
in progress.
In 1997,
China needed Hong Kong’s first-world banking system,
rule of law and global influence. These days, Hong Kong
needs China more: the mainland’s drive to get more
companies to raise funds at home is the latest reminder.
And what if China experiences economic problems?
The
strides Singapore is making as a center for trading,
hedge funds and private banking should worry Hong Kong
officials—especially as they look out their office
windows at a skyline obscured by pollution.
Oddly,
Hong Kong’s chief executive, Donald Tsang, told Cable
News Network in March that the city’s air quality is
better today than in 1997. Presumably, Tsang’s office
has no windows and he doesn’t get out much.
Activism
Reclamation projects make you wonder if you will be able
to walk from Hong Kong Island to Kowloon in a few years.
Many residents, for example, are enraged by the
demolition of the clock tower at the Star Ferry complex,
which some view as
Hong Kong’s Big Ben.
Democracy or not, Hong Kong is confronting leaders more
forcefully than ever. It’s a reminder that Hong Kong is
a great city, a place where East meets West and where
the buzz and inventiveness rival New York and London. It
also has an impressive history of overcoming
adversity—look no further than the crisis from severe
acute respiratory syndrome in 2003.
Yet Hong
Kong’s biggest decisions are now made in Beijing, which
is eroding freedom of speech. News outlets that don’t
toe the party line, like BBC-style Radio Television Hong
Kong, are under threat. That’s bad news as worsening air
quality forces more and more expatriate professionals,
who help bolster Hong Kong’s global image and culture of
free speech, to leave.
Gas
masks?
When
Christine Loh, chief executive officer of Civic Exchange
and a former Hong Kong legislator, says “the government
doesn’t get it,” she knows it’s a more complex problem.
Tsang is Beijing’s handpicked leader and much of the
pollution comes from the Chinese factories driving the
mainland’s growth.
What’s
more, thousands of those factories are owned by Hong
Kong tycoons. Tsang, who isn’t democratically elected,
can’t exactly cross them; nor can he run afoul of his
comrades in
Beijing.
Expect continued denial over pollution.
It would
be a tragedy if leaders squandered
Hong Kong’s future by being complacent today. Then, Mickey Mouse
wouldn’t be the only one needing a gas mask.
William Pesek is a Bloomberg News columnist. The
opinions expressed are his own. |