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DOMESTIC
interest rates can only go higher, experts said on
Tuesday.
At the
annual shareholders’ meeting of Philippine National Bank
(PNB), officials said short-term interest rates are to
move up “over the next 12 months.”
Latest
comments from the Swiss financial services giant UBS
also forecast more tightening from the Bangko Sentral ng
Pilipinas (BSP) which has already hiked its policy
rates by 25 basis points early this month.
UBS said
another 25-basis-point hike is expected to bring the BSP
policy rate to 5.75 percent, when borrowing from and
7.75 percent when lending to banks.
The
rates now stand at 5.25 percent and 7.25 percent,
respectively.
“We see
domestic interest rates leading higher this year. Our
treasury operations has taken a short-duration stance,”
PNB first senior vice present Ramon Lim said.
Lim
heads the bank’s treasury unit whose activities are
expected to contribute up to 35 percent of its forecast
P2-billion net income this year. Treasury operations
involve dealing in currency and securities.
At UBS,
its Singapore-based researchers said the BSP, along with
the Bank of Thailand, should show a “willingness to
tighten policy” to help boost the value of the weakened
peso and make ownership of its peso bonds more
attractive.
“We
believe the message from the investment community is
that the Bank of Thailand and the Philippine central
bank need to surprise the market consensus with their
willingness to tighten monetary policy if investor
sentiment were to turn more positive and the weakness in
the exchange rate along with bond markets is to be
arrested,” UBS said. |