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    P1.23-trillion outlay seen
    to lead to balanced budget
    By Mia Gonzalez
    Reporter

    THE national government is eyeing a P1.227-trillion budget next year to be funded by revenues of P1.236 trillion, Budget Secretary Rolando Andaya Jr. said on Tuesday.

    The proposed draft budget, which is P90.6 billion or 8-percent higher than this year’s P1.136-trillion budget, is among the preliminary parameters contained in the “Budget Call,” a 92-page guide in preparing budget proposals that the budget chief sent to all agencies on May 4.

    Andaya said in a statement that it would be “the first time in years that the budget is formulated with income projected to exceed expenses.”

    “The result is a balanced budget, the first that could be achieved in more than a decade,” he said.

    He said the macroeconomic assumptions of the draft 2008 budget are a gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 5.8 percent to 6.6 percent, inflation rate of 3 percent to 4 percent, a 91-day Treasury bill rate of 4 percent to 5 percent, and a P49 to $1 exchange rate.

    Andaya said the assumptions may change, but the government “shall be flexible enough during the budget preparation phase to adjust to changes.”

    He said the projected peso-dollar exchange rate is the basis for the “indicative amount” of P300.7 billion for debt service in next year’s budget, P2.6-billion less than the 2007 allocation, and may still go lower because it is premised on a P49 to $1 exchange rate.

    “[It is an] assumption that could still improve together with the entire economic outlook,” he said.

    Personnel services, which covers 1.1 million national government employees and the pension of police and military retirees, is proposed to receive P377.6 billion in the 2008 budget.

    Andaya said the amount is P23- billion more than 2007 because of the pay hike for state workers and the hiring of more teachers and policemen, to keep up with the growing population.

    The government is eyeing a budget of P137.9 billion for maintenance and other operating expenditures, up by P17.9 billion from this year because of “inflationary adjustments and additional funds for health programs.”

    Under the proposed draft budget, local governments will get a higher internal revenue allotment share of P208.3 billion, or P24.3-billion more than their IRA in 2007, because of better revenues reaped by the reformed value-added tax.

    Andaya said infrastructure is proposed to receive a “P156.6-billion shot in the arm” next year, P22.6-billion higher than in 2007, while capital outlays will increase to P208.5 billion from this year’s P182.4 billion.

    He said the Department of Education will continue to top other departments in terms of budget allocation, consistent with the provisions of the Constitution.

    In his National Budget Memorandum to government agency heads, Andaya said the budget framework is anchored on “achieving fiscal consolidation and balanced budget consistent with the medium-term macroeconomic and fiscal framework of the updated Medium Term Philippine Development Plan.”

    Andaya said the Cabinet will review budget levels submitted by agencies before they are collated in a budget bill and submitted to Congress on or before August 23 or a month after President Arroyo’s State of the Nation Address on July 23. 

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