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ONLY A FIFTH OF JAPANESE TRADERS EXPECT
TO DO BETTER
Jetro poll: Biz outlook dim
By Max V. de Leon
Reporter
CONCERNED about falling domestic demand and rising
interest rates, a growing number of Japanese investors here are
saying their business will do “worse” this month until
September this year.
A survey conducted by
the Japan External Trade Office (Jetro) showed that for the month
of May, only 19.8 percent of Japanese businessmen here indicated
that they expect to do better for the month.
On the other hand, 35.3
percent of the respondents said they expect their business to be
worse and 44.9 percent said their situation would be just the same.
This gave the Philip pines
a diffusion index (DI) of negative 15.5. The DI is the difference
between the ratio of positive (“better”) and negative
(“worse”) responses.
In the April Jetro survey,
25.8 percent of Japanese investors gave optimistic responses for
their business sentiment for that month while 34.6 percent gave
negative answers, translating to a DI of negative 8.8.
The May survey covered
207 Japanese businessmen here and they were asked to compare earnings
prospects, supply and demand, inventory, sales prices and accounts
receivable with the same period one year earlier.
Jetro also surveyed Japanese
investors in other countries, and the Philippines was lumped with
the Asean 5 along with Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Singapore.
The aim of the survey
is to provide up-to-date information on business conditions in the
Asian economy to help companies develop more effective business
strategies.
In the business sentiment
outlook for the next three months, 22.2 percent of the respondents
in the Philippines gave positive answers and 27.5 percent answered
negatively, giving the country a DI of negative 5.3—again,
down from the April DI of only negative 0.6 percent.
Overall current business
sentiment for the five Asean countries declined 6.1 points over
the previous month, with the index remaining in negative territory
for the sixth straight month.
The index for Singapore
rose 6.9 points, on the heels of the country’s expanded exports
of electric/electronics equipment and booming construction and real-estate
sectors, Jetro said.
Sentiment in the remaining
four Asean countries, however, was down, with indices reaching into
negative territory in all four countries in May.
“Depressed sentiment
among Japanese firms in the region reflects their growing concern
over falling domestic demand. This is viewed as the result of increases
in the consumer price index and interest rate rises, accompanied
by declining domestic demand in the major countries, as well as
a reflection of uncertainty over the political situations in Thailand
and Indonesia,” the agency said.
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