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    Persian Gulf tanker rates may drop

    LONDON—The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world’s busiest route for supertankers, may drop for a fifth day as vessel demand slows and owners lower their rates to win cargoes.

    Oil companies hired 20 very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, to load at the region’s ports during the past week, according to data from Barry Rogliano Salles. That’s about a fifth less than the weekly average for last year, according to the Paris-based shipbroker.

    “The market is currently showing a correction,” Nikos Varvaropoulos, a broker at Optima Shipbrokers in Athens, said in an e-mailed note late Tuesday. Hire rates will “continue to be firm” through June, he said.

    Iran is storing between 20 million and 40 million barrels of crude on VLCCs near Kharg Island, cutting supply of ships in the single-voyage, or spot, market. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is shipping near-record volumes of oil. Against that, record oil could trigger a global recession and cut demand for crude cargoes, according to the International Energy Agency, adviser to 27 oil-consuming nations.

    CPC Corp., Taiwan’s state oil refiner, hired the tanker Hebei Mountain for 192.5 Worldscale points, according to Barry Rogliano’s report. That’s 4.9 percent below the London-based Baltic Exchange’s benchmark assessment of 202.34 points for a cargo to Asia.

    Hebei Mountain is fitted with a double hull to cut the risk of an oil spill. The exchange’s assessment is for ships up to 15 years of age, of which about 11 percent aren’t fitted with full double hulls, according to Lloyd’s Register-Fairplay data on Bloomberg. Double-hull tankers are normally more expensive to hire than those with single hulls.

    Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for more than 320,000 specific routes. Flat rates for every voyage, quoted in US dollars a ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates.

    Each flat-rate assessment gives owners and oil companies a starting point for negotiating hire rates without having to calculate the value of each deal from scratch.

    At 202.34 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled VLCCs can earn about $164,697 a day on a 39-day roundtrip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg marine-fuel prices.

    Frontline Ltd., the world’s biggest VLCC operator, said February 15 it needs $31,400 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

    Bookings for VLCCs sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners LLP. Shipments to the US and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers. (Bloomberg)

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