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THE
Philippines’ food import bill for 2008 may go up to
close to 40 percent due to more expensive rice, wheat
and dairy products, according to the latest Food Outlook
released by the United Nations Food and Agriculture
Organization (FAO).
In its
latest report, FAO noted that most low-income food
deficit countries (LIFDCs), under which the Philippines
is classified, will face substantially higher import
bills compared with last year. The import bill of the
Philippines may rise by about 38 percent.
“Surging
prices of wheat, rice and vegetable oils will take their
tolls on import costs,” said FAO.
Among
all LIFDCs, FAO said
Haiti
will see the highest increase in its food-import bill
this year at 83 percent. The Philippines is considered a
net food-importing country.
The unit
noted that the bulk of the anticipated growth in the
world food import bill would rest on higher expenditures
on rice, wheat and vegetable oils, which are all
forecast to rise to unprecedented levels from 2007—77
percent in the case of rice, in spite of a forecast
sharp contraction in global rice deliveries in 2008, and
around 60 percent for wheat and vegetable oils.
“Soaring
international quotations are mostly responsible but also
freight costs, which have nearly doubled for many
routes,” said FAO.
For
rice, the UN unit said global market conditions could
improve as new crops are being harvested in both the
South and North Hemisphere, which could help reverse the
upward trend in prices from their recent peaks.
FAO,
however, warned that world rice quotations are likely to
remain “extremely strong” at least until October and
November, when the bulk of the 2008 paddy crops will
start being marketed.
“Until
then, availabilities in those exporting countries that
have not restrained access will be particularly
stretched, especially as a number of large importing
nations, including the Islamic Republic of Iran,
Malaysia, Nigeria and Senegal, are expected to return on
the world market to buy,” said FAO.
It said
that the global rice market will react “strongly” to any
shock, as illustrated by the disastrous impact of the
Cyclone Nargis on Myanmar, which reignited prices in the
first weeks in May.
“Over
the longer term, however, world [and domestic] prices
are unlikely to fall back to the pre-2007 levels,
because of rising costs and the need for several
countries to rebuild stocks,” said FAO.
The UN
has expressed fears that more expensive food could
worsen the food deprivation being suffered by 854
million people.
“Food is
no longer the cheap commodity that it once was. Rising
food prices are bound to worsen the already unacceptable
level of food deprivation suffered by 854 million
people,” said FAO Assistant Director General Hafez
Ghanem.
“We are
facing the risk that the number of hungry will increase
by many more millions of people.” |