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MARKET
investors have a lesson to learn from the way Manila
Electric Co. (Meralco) has suffered as a result of the
relentless attack made by Winston Garcia—president,
general manager and vice chairman of the board of
trustees of the Government Service Insurance System (GSIS)—against
the company and the Lopezes, who control its board and
management. That lesson is: at the first sign of
trouble, sell. Or In this case, at Garcia’s initial
salvo, sell?
What is
happening to Meralco, whose stock has suffered the
harshest beating so far since it sold shares to the
public in 1992, is bound to happen to other listed
companies, from activist stockholders, although not
necessarily from Garcia. It is not financials that ail
Meralco, which reported a consolidated net profit P728
million in the first six months and P16.665 billion in
retained earnings. It’s the threat of the government
takeover coming from a pension fund whose seed money
comes from 1.4 million government workers. And what
triggered the threat is the law that allows a public
utility firm like Meralco to pass on to consumers what
should have been avoided through efficiency. In the case
of a power distributor, it is called systems loss.
Investors may want to look at what happened to GSIS’s
investments. At a high of P82.50 on April 21, its
249.139 billion shares in Meralco had market value of
P20.554 billion, which fell on Friday to P15.945 billion
for a staggering 22.424-percent paper loss of P4.609
billion
Like
GSIS, the Social Security System (SSS) failed to avoid
losses as a result of Meralco’s sudden plunge by not
selling at the first sign of trouble. It would be safe
to say that SSS chief Corazon de la Paz did not call up
her counterpart at GSIS and asked him his agenda before
he talked to the media. At P82.50, SSS’s 61.529 million
Meralco shares had a market value of P5.076 billion,
which drastically dropped to P3.937 billion, causing its
over 24 million member-workers from the private sector
some P1.138 billion in paper losses.
****
Including the stakes of other agencies in Meralco, the
government holds a total of 362.853 million shares. In
addition to GSIS and SSS, the shares are owned by Land
Bank of the
Philippines
with 48.569 million shares; Home Mutual Development
Fund, 1.712 million shares; and Philippine Health
Insurance Corp., 1.712 million shares.
Computed
at P82.50 each, the government-held 362.853-million
shares had a market value of P29.935 billion, which
dropped to P23.223 billion for a huge paper loss of
P6.712 billion.
****
In
exposing Meralco’s alleged sins against the
consumers, has Garcia shown himself to be a market
mover? Imagine, it took only one government official
appointed by President Arroyo to pull down Meralco from
a high of P82.50 to a low of P64 on Friday! He rattled
the market, forcing even foreign funds to dump their
shares in the electricity utility.
****
Of
course, what Garcia did to Meralco in his bid to
dislodge the Lopez management he would not dare do with
San Miguel Corp. (SMC) and Eduardo Cojuangco Jr., SMC’s
chairman and chief executive officer. Allies don’t
quarrel over the composition of the board. In the first
place, Garcia-led GSIS sold its SMC shares to San Miguel
Corp. Retirement Fund. The sale drastically reduced
GSIS’s holdings in SMC to 1.674 million A shares, as of
March 31, 2008. This, from the 195.702 million A shares
and 3.647 million B shares held by GSIS in March 2007.
Is there
a tie that binds GSIS with SMC. Or is it Garcia, and not
GSIS, who has built a strong tie or link with SMC?
It may
be important to note that one of SMC’s subsidiaries is
GSIS’s costockholder in a property company, which will
be capitalized at P600 million. GSIS invested the
property, while the SMC unit is providing the cash
infusion of P300 million.
San
Miguel Properties Inc. (SMPI) and GSIS “agreed to
establish a joint-venture corporation” in October 31,
2007. However, GSIS won’t be in the company as a
50-percent stockholder for the long-term. Under the
deal, San Miguel Properties “grants GSIS the option to
sell to [SMPI] all shares of stock of the [joint-venture
contract] issued in the name of GSIS and its nominees
under certain terms and conditions.” |