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    T-bill rate drop to 6.846% normal–banker
    BUT YIELD MUST RISE IF GOVERNMENT WANTS TO MEET REVENUE TARGET
     
    By Jun Vallecera
    Reporter
     

    THE one-year Treasury-bill rate dropped by 6.9 basis points to 6.846 percent, the Bureau of Treasury reported on Monday.

    This is the second time the rate for 364-day bills fell.

    A bank executive belittled the yield slide, saying it is within trading range and, at this point, does not reflect a reverse in the general uptrend forecast for near-term interest in rates.

    What was significant in Monday’s auction was that Finance Undersecretary Roberto Tan sold only P1.62 billion worth of 364-day bills, said Pascual Garcia III, president of Philippine Savings Bank. Up for sale is the regular weekly volume of P6 billion.

    “This is just within a trading range. The market will continue to focus on inflation and the currency depreciation may push the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas [BSP] to consider [an interest] rate hike,” Garcia said in a text message.

    Increases in food and nonfood prices and second-round inflationary threats like the current round of wage hikes have pushed the year-to-date inflation past the ceiling to 6.2 percent in the first four months.

    These developments could force the BSP to abandon growth considerations and focus more on price movements that some banks have interpreted as a signal for an interest-rate hike as early as June or later in the second half.

    Bankers said the government has to let domestic interest rates move up if it wants to generate a volume of credit that is in keeping with its funding requirements.

    But Tan, also the acting Treasury chief, wasn’t through with the banks just yet, and said Monday the plan to review the performance of the 30-member government securities dealers and rationalize their ranks.

    Tan said the review was prompted by observations that only around 10 members regularly join the weekly auction.

    The situation, Tan said, raises questions on the intent of banks and financial institutions that make up the market of accredited government securities dealers, also known as GSEDs.

    “But we would want to listen to them first,” he added.

    The review could lead to endorsements by the review panel on the temporary or even permanent exclusion of some dealers in subsequent auctions.

    “The have to convince us they are serious in their role as GSEDs by participating more actively than they have in the past. Some of them clearly are not contributing for the development of the market,” Tan said.

    A lack of participation by dealers has been noted during the time of former Treasury chief and Citibank executive Omar Cruz, who now works for the American Insurance Group.

    Tan said this approach to responsibility needs stop.

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