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    Peso falls on oil, inflationary woes
     
    By Czeriza Valencia
    Reporter
     

    THE PESO yesterday extended a two-day decline prompted by soaring oil and rice prices, as well as inflationary woes.

    The situation has caused investors to squirrel away their dollars, increasing overseas demand for the greenback but not enough remittances to cover the demand, currency traders said.

    The local currency closed at P42.615 to $1 Thursday, a little over 17 centavos weaker than the previous day’s close of P42.44, its lowest level in five months. It traded at a high of P42.50 and dipped low to P42.675 during the session.

    “Risk aversion is still happening because inflationary pressure is pronounced. There is also a spike in oil and rice prices,” senior vice president for financial markets Marcelo Ayes of Rizal Commercial Banking Corp. said.

    Global pump prices reached $123 dollars per barrel overnight while domestic inflation reached 8.3 percent in April from 6.4 percent in March.

    Rice prices also spiked after Myanmar, a key rice-growing region, was hit by a cyclone.

    Ayes said the peso is expected to trade within P42.85 to P42.90 this month; and possibly range within P42.50 to P42.60 as remittances in preparation for school expenses “bring some relief.”

    A trader from another commercial bank said present remittance volume is not enough to “balance” offshore demand for dollars as investors pull out from their peso investments.

    The trader, who requested anonymity, explained that higher fuel cost translates to higher import prices and will cause investors to buy more dollars.

    “While there are remittances coming in, it is not enough to offset the [offshore] demand for dollars,” the trader added.

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