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    Costs of shipping oil through Persian
    Gulf seen to be higher on ship shortage

    THE cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world’s busiest route for supertankers, may rise for a 12th day because of falling vessel supply.

    There are 15 double-hulled very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, available for hire within the next 30 days, according to a recent report from Paris-based Barry Rogliano Salles. A month ago, there were 54.

    It’s primed “for further increase,” said Halvor Ellefsen, a tanker broker at SeaLeague AS. The supply of ships in May looks “very tight indeed” based on the amount of demand for vessels hired to load this month.

    Total SA, Europe’s third-largest oil company, booked a vessel operated by Tankers International Llc. with a discharge option in Asia that cost 165 Worldscale points, according to a report Friday from Athens-based Optima Shipbrokers.

    That’s 4.3 percent above the London-based Baltic Exchange’s benchmark assessment of 158.13 points for voyages to Asia.

    Still, demand for ships from oil companies has “taken a breather” over the past two days, Ellefsen said. “The market does not generally take well to longer periods of inactivity.”

    Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for more than 320,000 specific routes. Flat rates for every voyage, quoted in US dollars a ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates.

    Each flat-rate assessment gives owners and oil companies a starting point for negotiating hire rates without having to calculate the value of each deal from scratch.

    At 158.13 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled VLCCs can earn about $124,694 a day on a 39-day roundtrip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg marine-fuel prices.

    Frontline Ltd., the world’s biggest VLCC operator, said on February 15 it needs $31,400 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

    Bookings for VLCCs sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners Llp.

    Shipments to the US and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers. (Bloomberg)

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