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    Jpepa’s demand-side economics

    IN a global milieu of increasing scarcity of even the most basic food staples, in addition to induced and natural shortages of critical fuels, among the advantages the Japan-Philippines Economic Partnership Agreement (Jpepa) presents as responses to these afflictions are systemic approaches that immediately globalize our innate assets and address our festering deficiencies.

    There is nothing wrong with a short-term strategy of defending a weak economy against the assaults of scarcity. Aggressively planting staples, halting the conversion of arable land, rechannelling funds from corruption conduits back to fertilizers, irrigation and pesticides on the food-security arena and seriously pursuing renewable fuels are appropriate responses. These, however, address only one side of the economic balance sheet. These must be coupled with aggressive revenue-generation initiatives as scarcities lead to higher prices making products virtually inaccessible.

    For one, the agricultural authorities can no longer simply say that whenever local food supplies are low, with a strong peso, importations can always be resorted to. That and Arroyo’s corruption defaults got us into this rut in the first place.

    Energy officials can also no longer point to deregulation as convenient ways out. Both can no longer present the illusion of proactive governance by calling for chatty talkfests and summits that produce little more than publicity, placebos and palliatives.

    Solutions must be bolder. As global prices of critical goods increase, we must arm our economy with long-term revenues if we are to continue our hopelessly myopic strategy of importations. In this, the Jpepa becomes critical and cannot be reduced to issues its critics attack it with.

    Shorn of hyperbolic yelling, what remains of the issues leveled against the Jpepa are environmental and sovereignty controversies adequately, if not forcefully, addressed by the Constitution. It would take Herculean, if not impossible, forces to change those. Unfortunately, emanating from critics alienated from both the management and operation of the economy, while they miss out on its importance, they generate vicious opinion. 

    Fortunately, pump-priming revenue-rich market development through the Jpepa’s demand-side economics cannot come at a better time as we spin out of control on the supply side of rice and energy economics.

    One of Arroyo’s most rabid supporters, an economics professor and a business columnist, has swallowed hook, line and sinker the illogic of having no rice shortage, just prohibitively high prices. Not only does this play into the anomaly of the importation default but, also, it refuses to recognize that high prices are symptomatic of a global grain undersupply.

    Worse, albeit typical of a severe case of the sycophantic syndrome, it assumes that the public earns enough revenue to afford rice at any price.

    Such ivory-tower Marie Antoinette callousness betrays the insensitivity and alienation of theoretical economics. Where would the public earn the revenue to afford the importations? The treatise is imperceptive as it dismisses the festering economic imbalance proven by Arroyo’s own statistics where, of the three GDP sectors among industry, agriculture and services, only the last has shown any real prosperity.

    Inequitable economic governance, a coterie of military minds and other simpletons at the Palace effectively warped the delicate balances among sectors that comprise productivity. That has led to tragic disproportions where we’ve actively neglected industrial and agricultural growth in favor of the services sector. The effect is that we’ve consigned the educated as glorified telephone operators and rely on inward remittances from the caregiving skills of trained and educated teachers, doctors and other qualified professionals. While we boast of increasing GDP growth, a deeper analysis shows that it merely mirrors incomes in one sector where a small segment of our population lies.

    The Jpepa not only addresses those imbalances but provides a demand-side boost for neglected sectors. On the aspect of nurturing rich markets for high-value industrial goods, describing it as a vehicle for “coherent growth,” the Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry echoes the support for the Jpepa by the Philippine Exporters Confederation; same with the Semiconductors and Electronics Industries of the Philippines (Seipi) and other commercial and industrial organizations.

    For Seipi, the Jpepa’s synergies work both ways. As of 2006, the electronics industry has exported $30 billion, of which $6 billion were exported by Japanese companies in the Philippines. In the electronics industry, of $1 billion in investments, $350 million are by 200 Japanese companies (out of 900 electronic companies) all employing approximately 130,000 Filipinos.

    Let’s be more specific. The Jpepa enhances market penetration through the supply of goods with comparative advantages. Added to the Japanese-branded electronic products produced here, these other goods are our fish, fruits, charcoal, iron-ore concentrates, nonferrous metal, silver platinum ores, crude vegetable materials, wood manufactures, office machines, travel goods, handbags, clothes, watches and clocks and other manufactured goods.

    Under the Jpepa, tariffs will be eliminated within 10 years for electronic appliances and their parts, while tariffs on nearly all textiles and apparel will be eliminated immediately.  This opens the Japanese market to local apparel manufacturers, encouraging the expansion of the industry.

    The logic is simple. The Jpepa’s strategy is to spur industrial and agricultural production by increasing demand for both high- and low- value Philippine products in prolific markets. The net effect contributes to GDP growth in a more equitable and “coherent” manner than does the services sector. The latter, while providing some employment, does not create true economic wealth as might growth in industry and agriculture.

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