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THE
slowing world economy and rising inflation will be the
major hurdles that Philippine businesses will deal with
in 2008. This, according to Samie Lim, president of the
Philippine Chamber of Commerce and Industry (PCCI) who
spoke at the launching this week of the book Whither
the Philippines in the 21st Century in Makati City.
“The
Philippine economy by itself is doing very good. It has
shown momentum and sustainable growth, and it is the
world economy that’s pulling us down. ” To underscore
his point, he then cited the high oil prices, the
subprime crisis and possible—some say it’s a fact
already—recession of the US.
Inflation, on the other hand, will also challenge
business, as this will cause the price of inputs to
increase and may cut into profit margins of companies.
Last March saw inflation in the Philippines at 6.4
percent, the highest registered inflation in 20 months.
Asked
whether the business community was concerned about the
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) raising interest
rates, he said the business community was fully behind
whatever the BSP decides to do.
“We’re
fully confident that our governor [Amando Tetangco], one
of the best in Asia, will do what is best for the
economy,” he said. He sees the issue of inflation as
being very temporary, but declined to give an estimate
as to how temporary this would be.
Fluctuations in the exchange rate will also be a key
issue affecting the Philippine economy, said the PCCI
chief.
“We have
10 million overseas Filipino workers and, naturally, a
change in the value of the peso will have some kind of
effect on the spending power of these people,” he added.
At any
rate, the country has sound economic fundamentals—enough
to ensure it can still achieve good gross domestic
product growth at a range of 6 percent to 7 percent in
2008, according to Lim.
IN the
same event, Dr. Lorraine Salazar one of the book
editors added a note of balance and hope regarding the
state of the Philippines as a whole and where it might
be headed, with the Philippine launch of Whither the
Philippines in the 21st Century.
The
book, she said, will deal with the political, religious,
economic and social facets of Philippine society to give
people outside and within the Philippines a better
understanding of the country.
“Most
foreigners only hear about the Philippines when
something bad happens. The news they hear from us is
mostly negative in context, so we made this book to
enlighten others and our own countrymen,” she said in an
interview.
“We made
the book to fill in the gaps of research about the
Philippines and to give others an introduction to the
complexities of the Philippine culture, to analyze the
problems that hound us. But most important, the book
gives insights on how these problems are not
insurmountable and [stresses] that there are solutions,”
she explained.
She
described the book’s contributors as being among the
best experts in their respected fields—among them, Prof.
Alex Magno, Dr. Patricio Abinales, Ambassador Rodolfo
Severino, Mary Mirandilla and Dr. Ernesto Pernia.
The book
was initiated by the
Institute of
Southeast Asian Studies,
and published by the Konrad Adenauer Stiftung
Foundation. |