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    Musical chairs

    With Cabinet Secretary Ricardo Saludo, a staunch ally of President Arroyo, moving out of the Palace to assume the chairmanship of the Civil Service Commission, expect his departure to trigger a musical chairs of sorts in Malacañang. His appointment, ergo Karina David’s departure, was perfectly timed, wittingly or otherwise.

    The months of April and May, the summer months, are the traditional festive months, with many localities holding fiestas usually in honor of their patron saints. This May, in particular, also marks the end of the one-year prohibition on the public appointment of defeated electoral candidates. Thus, one can expect more political fireworks in the next few weeks as the Palace likely pays homage to its own political patrons.

    With Ricardo Saludo moving out, the position of Cabinet secretary becomes available. Coffee shops are also rife with rumors that outgoing Armed Forces Chief of Staff Gen. Hermogenes Esperon is likely to be appointed to the Defense post, while Defense Secretary Gilberto Teodoro (a nephew of Eduardo “Danding” Cojuangco) will likely move to the Interior department. Interior Secretary Ronaldo Puno, meantime, will reportedly move to the Palace as executive secretary, while Executive Secretary Eduardo Ermita will either be posted abroad or moved to the state gaming regulator Pagcor.

    Another version of the rumor has Environment Secretary Lito Atienza moving to the Interior department, considering his long-time experience as a local official, first as vice mayor and then as mayor of the City of Manila. Other potential vacancies in the Cabinet are from the possible replacement of Agriculture Secretary Arthur Yap, who may be moved back to the Palace as Cabinet secretary in place of  Saludo; and Finance Secretary Gary Teves, who may be either posted abroad or named to head either a government financial institution or a government-owned and -controlled corporation.

    There seems to be some issue with some Cabinet performances, particularly those of Yap and Teves. Yap, who is reportedly intending to run for the Senate in 2010, is getting plenty of undeserved flak nowadays because of the escalating prices of rice and wheat as well as corn and livestock, while Teves is reportedly being made to account for the Bureau of Internal Revenue’s (BIR) collection shortfall for 2007. In the latter’s case, a party-list congressman who sits in the powerful Commission of Appointments already voiced his intention to ask Teves to explain the shortfall the next time the Finance secretary appears before the commission.

    The Agriculture and Finance posts are obvious hardship posts, more so now with the brewing problems involving food security as well as limited government finances for much-need infrastructure and public spending. In this sense, it may be highly unlikely for the Palace to attract “new faces” to assume these posts. But it can choose to rehabilitate older faces, including former representative Butch Pichay, who may yet be interested to give Agriculture a go after failing in his bid to “plant” himself in the Senate. As for Finance, on and off several names have been bandied about, including those of Trade Secretary Peter Favila and Education Secretary Jesli Lapus, who were both at one time bankers in their respective professional careers. Also rumored to be considered for the post is the Development Bank of the Philippines’s Reynaldo David. Prior to joining Finance, Teves was also a banker, serving as chief executive of Land Bank of the Philippines.

    While seemingly unfair to make Yap and Teves account for events and issues beyond their respective control—with the food and oil crises both global phenomena while dwindling tax collection more a direct concern of the BIR commissioner—the Palace is well within its prerogative to either continue supporting both officials or replacing them. For that is the nature of public service in this country, particularly in the case of executive appointees. Most, if not all, serve at the “pleasure” of the presidency, and can be easily dismissed as they were appointed—rightly or otherwise, fairly or not.

    The possibility of musical chairs is high as it is timely, with the President perhaps feeling the need to cater to her patrons and benefactors to assure her own political survival at least until 2010. With just 25 months left in her six-year term, political debts should be settled in the next few months—before the new Congress opens during her State of the Nation Address in July. With the present “crises” of escalating food and oil prices and dwindling tax collection, she may just realize an “opportunity” to “strengthen” her Cabinet in the next few weeks by introducing new faces or announcing new initiatives as she moves around her officials.

    And as she completes executive consolidation in the next few weeks, through a possible Cabinet revamp, this may complement political actions in previous months to consolidate her power base in the House of Representatives with the ouster of Jose de Venecia as Speaker and his replacement with Davao Rep. Prospero Nograles.

    One can only hope that the President will clearly calculate all her political moves in the coming days always with the nation’s best interest in mind. Whether the Cabinet is in need of an overhaul, and whether this will be the solution to present governance ills, is a matter of opinion. One thing clear, though, is that her government, as well as her public image, requires a major transformation. There is a clear and pressing need to muster strong public support for her presidency.

    But it is truly uncertain whether the long tradition of political patronage and the practice of appointing defeated electoral candidates to Cabinet posts will be the expedient solution. Obviously, executive changes now will have pros and cons, supporters and detractors and, ultimately, successes and failures. Question is can the President still afford to continue with governance characterized by hit or miss? 

    Comments to matort@yahoo.com

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