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    Petron and oil supply security

    With the looming sale by Saudi Aramco of its 40-percent shareholdings in Petron and the spike in the price of oil to a high of $117.40 per barrel, the country’s oil-supply security comes into focus. Without Saudi Aramco and the concomitant supply of oil in the country’s energy scenario, the possibility of an oil-supply crisis—similar to the present rice-supply crisis—could grip the nation and negate the inroads the government has made in the economic front.

    That run-up in the price of oil, more than doubling in price from its year-ago levels should be viewed with concern by the government in the light of the food crisis—and for Asia, notably the rice crisis—that is engulfing the region. What would happen to the country’s oil-supply situation should the price of oil be bidded up in the same way Asian nations are bidding up the price of rice to ensure the supply of the staple for their populace?

    The country may find itself unable to get its oil supply unless at a stiff price—clearly a stiff price to pay with the sale by Saudi Aramco of its stake in Petron to Ashmore Holdings, a company nowhere near any energy field. And even assuming that the country’s oil-exploration efforts pay off in the light of the proactive stance that Energy Secretary Angelo Reyes has put in place, still, the lag time between the discovery of oil to flowing the same could mean more than two years of waiting.

    With the rice crisis as an “endearing” lesson, the government should view with grave concern the sale by Saudi Aramco of its 40-percent stake and possibly look back at the statement of Philippine National Oil Co. (PNOC) president Antonio Cailao describing Ashmore as an “astute investor.” Clearly, Ashmore’s astuteness as an investor cannot match that of having the oil-supply security that the government badly needs, especially at this time of global unease over oil.

    It should be well worth citing here that the Philippines, in its May tender for rice, is seen to up the ante in securing rice, which price has gone up from just a little over $500 per ton to more than $700 per ton, and now to more than $1,000 per ton. From this viewpoint of a run-up in the price of rice, the country should revisit its energy-security policy and craft guidelines on how it aspires to ensure a steady supply of oil in the light of the Saudi Aramco divestment.

    Ashmore Holdings is no Saudi Aramco in terms of having a long-term oil supply contract. The astuteness of a highly rated investment-fund manager cannot equate with that of having an oil-supply deal unless, of course, PNOC, or Petron for that matter has already inked a stable oil-supply deal somewhere. It has been bruited about that the Alcantaras, who had tentative talks with Saudi Aramco regarding the oil kingdom’s projected share sale, could end up as the likely buyer of the listed oil firm as part of the family’s foray into the energy sector.

     

    Jpepa backer

    A nationwide farmers’ association has come out in the open to call upon the Senate to ratify the Japan-Philippine Partnership Agreement (Jpepa) in order to promote more agricultural exports to Japan and attract more investments to the agricultural sector. “In the face of a global crisis in food prices, it is necessary that Filipino farmers be given greater access to markets for agricultural products,” said the Farmers Cooperative Union of the Philippines (FCUP). 

    The farmers’ group’s call should be viewed with understanding in the light of the food crisis that is facing much of the developing world. The Jpepa is seen to provide more income to the country’s farming sector as it would open Japan to the entry of Philippine agricultural products such as pineapples and bananas. For Arnulfo Dimaandal, FCUP spokesman, the additional income from agricultural exports would boost investments in the farming sector. 

    “These would enable farmers to purchase more fertilizers and pesticides to increase production. They would also be able to build processing facilities to improve the quality of their products for the domestic and global markets and generally enhance their competitiveness,” said Dimaandal.

    According to FCUP, the additional investments and income from the agricultural sector “would help raise the financial requirements for improving the infrastructure for agricultural production, including rice, which has been experiencing a shortfall in production for the past many years.” This additional income from the export of cash crops would mean more capital for rice growing, finally realizing our dream for self-sufficiency of the staple. With self-sufficiency in grain will come lower prices within the reach of the common people.

    Japan is the second-largest market for Philippine agricultural exports, closely following the United States. With the agreement coming into force, almost 95 percent of Philippine exports to Japan (in terms of value) will face zero duties on Day One. The Philippines grows bananas, pineapples, mangoes, avocados and papayas, principal fruit items that Japan imports. Among the vegetables, okra and asparagus are among the country’s major exports to Japan, said FCUP. Why, even the Philippine pumpkin in frozen form is also a potentially exportable vegetable to Japan. 

    E-mail: hugagni@yahoo.com

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