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FITCH
Ratings dropped broad hints on Tuesday of keeping the
country’s credit stature at the BB level with a stable
outlook, its lead analyst in the region having cited
continued revenue issues that make the likelihood of an
upgrade unlikely for the time being.
Fitch
Rating analyst James McCormack told reporters questions
on the sustainability of revenues have kept them from
fully endorsing a credit upgrade for the Philippines.
“We
haven’t alluded to any changes. The issues we’ve been
concerned about in the last couple of years are still
there, primarily the revenue side of public finance.
Notwithstanding the good fiscal performance we’ve seen
in recent years, there’s still some concern on
sustainability of revenues,” he said.
“There
will probably be some growth risks this year with weaker
global environment. But still debt ratios are quite
going down and external side is still quite strong, the
balance of payments performed well and external
financing need is turning negative,” he said.
Finance
Secretary Margarito Teves reacted quickly, saying in a
statement the government remains committed to raising
the year’s revenue goals and fully financing budget
requirements.
“We are
not wavering from this plan, and, if necessary, we will
boost spending on agricultural production by looking for
additional sources of revenues or support from
government corporations or financial institutions.
“We are
also firm in our resolve to further improve our debt
ratios. In the first quarter, there were several
positive trends that would support stronger tax
collection this year,” Teves said.
He
called on potential investors to “consider the
Philippines’ good economic prospects and sound
macroeconomic fundamentals above the noise over global
inflationary pressures and economic volatility.”
“The
Philippine government is committed to raising the
revenues to fully finance the budget this year,” Teves
reiterated.
McCormack, on the other hand, said there are risks to
sustained high growth this year but even then, Manila
continue to report diminishing debt ratios, a strong
balance of payments and significantly reduced foreign
financing requirements.
“I think
where we are right now is we’re sitting in the middle of
a stable outlook,” the lead Fitch Ratings analyst said.
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