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The
earnings reports for the end of 2006 being released by
the major listed companies are nothing less than
outstanding.
In
theory, if you have been operating your own business
effectively and efficiently during the past 12 to 24
months, you too should have registered and should be
looking at a very bright profit picture for the future.
A
significant problem that many businesses face is being
able to maintain their momentum.
Imagine
that you are trying to push your stalled automobile. At
first, the going is very hard and you would probably try
a variety of techniques to get the car moving.
Eventually though, as the inertia builds up, the car
almost begins moving by itself with less effort on your
part. The momentum increases. However, at some point you
cannot get the car to move any faster; the speed
plateaus. After all the hard work to finally get the car
moving, you relax and reduce your physical effort. And
guess what? The car begins slowing down.
A
business owner, who three years ago intended to close
shop, completed an expansion program during 2006.
When his
business started improving back in 2004, there were
mixed feelings if any revenue increases would be
sustained or if shutting the doors was still inevitable.
Over some months, it became apparent that the sales
increase was not just a momentary blip but signaled an
actual pick- up in business.
He made
a conscious decision to eliminate any plans of closing
and began to work out a plan to take advantage of the
increased revenue. The plan focused first on how to keep
things going well and then on how to grow the business
even more during what looked like a period of a better
climate for his products.
For one
year much time and effort was invested in creating a new
business model and implementing that model. New revenues
were put back into the company. Most of the actual cash
outlay was used to “repair” some of the damages caused
by poor cash flow during the 2000-2004 period. The sales
force went through a retraining program and
long-neglected improvements to product packaging were
done.
Once the
company was brought back to pre-2000 standards, then
attention could be turned to future development and
expansion.
Since
2004, revenues continued to grow and profit margins
increased. Total profitability is back to pre-2000
levels and return on equity has never been higher in the
company’s history.
The
expansion program is proving to be very successful.
Revenues and earnings should grow in 2007 at historic
levels for this company. With things going well, one
might think that the story would stop now with a happy
ending. The rough times have been weathered and in fact,
the company has never been any stronger.
Now the
trouble may start.
With the
expansion program behind him, running the company has
become routine during the last six months. After years
of very difficult conditions and strenuous effort,
operating this better company is not as challenging as
before. Money is rolling in for a change and the company
seems to take care of itself. But in fact it will be
very easy for this company owner and the company to
begin losing momentum.
After
the hard work, things become routine. After the days and
weeks become routine, complacency sets in.
The
greatest corporate disaster that this owner may face is
that he becomes too satisfied with the way the company
is going. That is the first and most critical step to
losing momentum. A loss of momentum will not show on
either the top or bottom line for some time.
Nevertheless, when this loss of momentum does show up in
the numbers, it may be too late.
The
final step in the loss of company momentum will be
apathy. Complacency leads to apathy and when that
attitude sets in, then the profit picture will begin to
deteriorate.
If this
owner is not vigilant, a small decrease in revenues or
profits this quarter will lead to greater and increasing
problems in future quarters.
It might
be convenient to say that a good owner will wake up
after one or two quarters of falling numbers and then
can easily react to the situation. However, a company
that has been down raises itself up, and then stumbles
may be in for larger problems than before.
The
staff that weathered the storm before may jump ship,
wanting to be even more cautious this time. Owners can
become easily discouraged if there is a downturn.
Customers who have come to expect the company to
continue to be vibrant may look elsewhere.
Is
business better today than a few years ago? Then now is
the time to be most watchful of attitudes and
performances.
E-mail comments to mangun@email.com. |