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  • Big population seen to hinder MDGs
     
    By Cai U. Ordinario
    Reporter

    ACHIEVING the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) of reducing poverty and malnutrition by 2015 may be a tall order for the Philippines, as a new World Bank report projected the country’s population will soar to 101 million by 2015.

    Based on the 2008 World Development Indicators report released by the World Bank, the population may increase by 35.8 percent by 2015 from the 86.3 million it projected in 2006.

    This increase in population is projected to be higher even as malnutrition continues to persist in the Philippines. The World Bank noted that malnutrition especially among children below five years old, remains high in the country.

    The rate of population increase projected by the World Bank is consistent with the government’s projections. The National Statistics Office (NSO) projects that the average rate of population increase is at 2 percent per year.

    While the government has yet to release the latest official census, the NSO projects that population for 2008 is at 90.4 million.

    The government itself has admitted that the growth in population is one reason it is now having a hard time making food supply adequate for its people.

    Malacañang has admitted that it needs to review the population-management policies in light of a looming food crisis not only in the Philippines but also worldwide.

    The International Food Policy Research Institute (Ifpri) earlier warned that high food prices will place the nutrition of the poor at risk.

    In effect, higher food prices could make it harder for developing countries like the Philippines to meet the MDG of significantly reducing malnutrition by 2015.

    At the household level, Ifpri said the poor spend about 50 percent to 60 percent of their overall budget on food. The Ifpri estimated that for a five-person household living on $1 per person per day, a 50-percent increase in food prices removes up to $1.50 from their $5 budget.

    The latest MDG midterm report commissioned by the Asian Development Bank, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific and the United Nations Development Programme showed that the Philippines may not achieve the MDG on malnutrition.

    The report said the country is slow in decreasing the number of underweight children under the first goal on halving poverty.

    The report also showed the country is slow in decreasing the number of Filipinos living on $1 a day and providing access to clean water in rural areas and improving sanitation in rural areas.

    Further, the report said the country needs to work on the targets on primary enrollment, children reaching Grade 5 under goal 2; and the targets on forest cover, carbon-dioxide emissions and access to clean water in urban areas under goal 7, where it has been regressing or showed no progress at all. 

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