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    Oil, rice nightmare

    With the looming price rises in oil and other products bandied about for the next six weeks, as well as the lengthening queues of buyers of government rice, the country’s poor may have to come up with novel ways of coping with the upward spiral of prices of most commodities.

    The need to possibly substitute rice with potatoes or corn, which can be had for P20 a kilo, or of kamote at half that price, is one way of addressing the situation. The problem, though, is that it would take more than economics to wean away the populace from their rice-eating habits.

    Sadly, the government has to come up with a more vigorous way of addressing the rice situation, beyond raiding rice hoarders or announcing a liberalized rice-importation program. As for the oil nightmare, with the price of oil not bucking down to below $100 a barrel, the government will have to open up more oil-drilling fronts that the country may yet be sufficient in oil. Offshore Palawan, which has proven itself to be an oil province, should hum with more drilling activities so that more oil zones can be discovered.

    The unabated price rise in oil and other products, such as LPG, is the biggest factor in the similar uptick in the price of chicken, pork, bread, cooking oil, sardines and other commodities. Without that oil factor, the country can rest easy and the Bangko Sentral need not recast its inflation-targeting program to cope with the price situation. The inflation outlook does not augur well for Juan de la Cruz, whose savings are eaten up by inflation.

    Perhaps the government can once again revisit its Oil-Price Stabilization Fund that allowed for the smoothening out of the oil-price surges. This fund is replenished when the oil price falls below a certain trigger price and is used to reimburse the oil majors on the difference between the higher oil price prevailing in the world market and the trigger price. Taking care of the oil-price situation would give enough cushion for the government to address other problems such as the rice crisis now obtaining in the land.

    And yet, for the poor folks, there are enough alternative choices to address the food crisis. We received an e-mail from the People Food Summit that sought to come up with a plan to remedy the burgeoning food crisis. Among their recommendations are:

    • Setting up of a nationwide—parish by parish or community by community—emergency food assistance and job-creation program for the poor, the unemployed and those barely making both ends meet. Given the extreme volatilities in the food market, the poor deserve not only protection from hoarders but also guarantees that they have access to affordable food items at any given time.

    • Leading the campaign for the early planting of rice and other essential crops so that harvesting shall coincide with the historical lean months for these commodities.

    • Initiating a massive food-production program in cities and provinces. Instead of identifying the so-called idle lands for big agribusiness ventures (foreign and local), the government should encourage the landless urban and rural poor to undertake the development of these lands for food production.

    • Immediate stabilization of the food markets by cracking down on hoarders; conduct of a nationwide inventory of rice and other food products; making the National Food Authority (NFA) the price leader in the trading of commodities experiencing market volatility; and centralizing through the NFA the importation and distribution of essential or staple food items.

    • Suspension of the biofuels program, which competes directly with food production. Its revival should be subject to a multisectoral consultation and rigorous assurance that such a program is not food-displacing.

    • Adjustment of workers’ wages to enable them to cope with the rising food prices. Such wage adjustments should be across-the-board and national in coverage, with no-ceiling-no-exemption conditionalities. Income tax for ordinary wage workers should be suspended, too, according to the summit recommendations.

    These recommendations could serve as talking points for the government’s eventual program of addressing the food crisis. It could also lead to the dismantling of the costly rice subsidy that the government undertakes via the NFA and which negates the privatization efforts of the government. The food crisis should not be allowed to fester as it affects the majority of the populace. As for the oil crisis, the government can always turn to private firms to undertake investments in oil prospecting. 

    E-mail: hugagni@yahoo.com

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