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    Persian Gulf tanker rates may drop

    THE cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, down by the most in three months last Friday, may extend its decline as the number of ships for hire exceeds cargoes.

    Refineries need to arrange the shipment of about 35 to 40 cargoes from Middle East ports in April, a report from Paris-based shipbroker Barry Rogliano Salles showed. By contrast, there are 82 vessels that could reach the region this month.

    “It’s a bit wobbly,” said Halvor Ellefsen, a tanker broker at SeaLeague AS in Oslo. He expects benchmark rental rates to fall about another 5 percent before “leveling out.”

    Formosa Plastics Corp., the world’s second-biggest maker of polyvinyl chloride, hired the tanker Astro Challenge at a rate of 97 Worldscale points for a cargo to Taiwan, according to a report from Oslo-based shipbroker PF Bassoe AS.

    That’s 5.4 percent below the London-based Baltic Exchange’s benchmark assessment of 102.5 points for voyages to Asia. The rate dropped 14 percent Friday, for its fifth daily decline.

    Astro Challenge is fitted with a double hull to cut the risk of an oil spill. The exchange’s assessment, used to settle freight-derivatives contracts, also takes into account rentals of single-hull vessels that are normally cheaper.

    Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for more than 320,000 specific routes. Flat rates for every voyage, quoted in US dollars a ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates. 

    Hire rates

    EACH flat-rate assessment gives owners and oil companies a starting point for negotiating hire rates without having to calculate the value of each deal from scratch.

    At 102.5 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled very large crude carriers, or VLCCs, can earn about $65,907 a day on a 39-day roundtrip from Saudi Arabia to South Korea, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based shipbroker, and Bloomberg marine-fuel prices.

    Frontline Ltd., the world’s biggest VLCC operator, said February 15 it needs $31,400 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

    Bookings for VLCCs sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners LLP.

    Shipments to the US and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers. --Bloomberg

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