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Ay, naku!
What a cursed state we are in.
This is
the common plaint we have been hearing as we get hit or
threatened to be mowed under by one national malady
after another for days on end. But are these plaints for
real or just tempests on a teapot?
This is the question being asked by
concerned sectors as news of rotating brownouts and
questionable coal-supply deals crept into the headlines
even as the country struggles with a looming rice
crisis. We will soon find out which is which and what is
what as more details of these twin curses, if we may
call it that, over rice and power are brought into the
open. What is clear is there is smoke all over the place
and some quarters are already raring to have certain
persons and entities literally thrown over burning
coals.
Well, in the case of rice, we say thanks
for some mercies as the issue gets cleared up with the
passing of the days. As our cohost and Sorsogon Rep. and
former Agriculture secretary twice over Sonny Escudero
correctly pointed out in our regular radio program
Karambola over dwIZ, the much, ballyhooed rice crisis is
more perception than reality.
The fact is, as Ka Sonny noted, we have
a buffer rice stock of 57 days at the end of March,
which is well within the normal limits this time of the
year. With more rice stocks getting into line within the
next two months (April and May are traditional harvest
times), that buffer should be up by another 45 days in
no time at all.
That, plus the expected delivery of more
than a million tons of imported rice in three to four
months as the administration decided to compete for the
remaining stock in the world market, should already tide
us over for the year even as we expect the worst from
the expected rains and flooding resulting from La Niña.
What is clear from all of these measures
is we will have the needed supply this year, but at
higher prices. There will be no long queues for the
basic staple, but there will be grumbling down to the
littlest communities unless the government is prepared
to subsidize the price increases, which may not be a
good idea at this time.
So, if anybody starts bleating about
possible food riots and other doomsday scenes, he or she
should be booked for “alarm and scandal,” not to mention
ignorance.
What we should be more interested in is
what our officials in both the executive and legislative
branches are proposing to avert the possibility of a
real rice crisis in the medium term. For, if truth be
told, we remain highly vulnerable to the vagaries not
only of the weather but of the world market as more
people get to consume rice, which rice-producing nations
may not be able to support in time.
That can spark a price war for the
exportable stocks, which we will be duty-bound to engage
in given our production limitations at this time. We
need to rehabilitate our rice lands, open up more idle
areas for cultivation and enhance our capabilities if we
are to limit the negative impact of such a scenario at
all.
Fixing in the immediate term not this
year’s problem is what we should now look into, and
finger-pointing will not do the trick for us.
What
about coal power?
It is the prospect of rotating brownouts
as we get to summer and beyond which is more real at
this time.
That this possibility first came into
the fore when no less than National Power Corp. (Napocor)
president Cyril del Callar recommended the activation of
the public-private task force to address the prolonged
shutdown of the Malampaya deep-water gas facility for
inspection and maintenance is most welcome.
But del Callar’s proactive gesture was
greeted with deep skepticism by the usual critics (why
make such suggestion as Malampaya is shutting down not
before is the caustic indictment), even as the
gas-complex operator assured one and all that supplies
will not be disrupted, as it had other sources.
Worse, it is now being used to hurl
added opprobrium by way of questions raised on the
conduct of the power company’s annual coal-supply
arrangements, which runs in the billions.
In particular, Napocor is now being
charged with awarding a P956-million coal-supply
contract to a newly registered company with questionable
credentials. As charged, the power firm is being hauled
to the burning coals for reportedly contracting
with Transpacific Consolidated Resources Inc. (TCRI),
which is supposed to be in joint venture with an
Indonesian firm, PT Marsitero Marloan Prakarsa, under
highly suspicious circumstances.
First, it accredited the joint venture
despite questions about its financial, technical and
related capability to undertake the job. Second, it
proceeded to contract and then increase even more its
contracted supply with the same joint venture despite
such questions.
The nagging suspicion is that this
shadowy joint venture is clearly just a conduit for the
award and will probably merely flip the entire contract
all over after getting its fees. If that happens, as is
likely to unless Napocor itself clarifies the entire
transaction in time, then it will surely be violating
its own processes and elementary contracting terms,
which frowns on conduits, especially shadowy ones, for
its basic requirements.
This concern becomes especially critical
in view of continuing skepticism about the real state of
the country’s power supply. For, if truth be told, this
is not the first time and will probably not be the last
that prospects of continuing power shortages, or, as is
now being touted, “rotating brownouts,” are in the air.
Like in the case of rice and other
staples, this feeling of hopelessness is made even more
dramatic by the seeming lack of, if not patchy and
belated, information about the real power situation
being dished out by those in charge like del Callar.
The case of Transpacific/PT Marsitero is
instructive. The way del Callar and company have handled
this situation leaves much to be desired. For even as
some sectors could go along and give him and his boys
the benefit of the doubt, they have yet to fully
disclose the kind of information which can still the
critics.
Simply brushing the issue as baseless
and part of a continuing effort by critics to sabotage
Napocor’s operations and ultimately destabilize the
government is too much of a hard sell. Why can’t they
just answer the questions point-by-point, starting with
the credentials of this little-known venture
Transpacific/PT Marsitero. By coming out with a
believable and forthright answer all innuendoes—and
there are a lot about del Callar’s conduct and the state
of our power sector—will be stilled and thrown out of
the window.
Resorting to counter charges and ad
hominem will not do the trick, and they better believe
it. |