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    Inflation rate slowest in 20 years
    ECONOMIST BAFFLED BY CENTRAL BANK STANCE OF KEEPING KEY RATES UNCHANGED
     
    By Rommer M. Balaba
    Reporter

    THE government on Wednesday reported the tamest rise in March consumer prices in 20 years, coming after a long series of low inflation rates, yet an economist is baffled why monetary authorities remain keen on keeping key policy interest rates unchanged.

    “They [Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas] should not be overly cautious and let interest rates fall . . . that would foster greater output and benefit those in the lending sector,” Victor A. Abola of the University of Asia and the Pacific said in a telephone interview.

    Socioeconomic Planning Secretary Romulo L. Neri, in a memorandum to President Arroyo, said a slowdown in the annual price changes of all the major commodity groups except for clothing last month contributed to a 2.2- percent headline inflation.

    Core inflation rate also eased to 2.6 percent from 3.0 percent the previous month.

    “An ample supply of major food items such as meat, fish, and fruits and vegetables contributed to the inflation downtrend,” Neri, who is also director general of the National Economic and Development Authority, said in an agency release.

    “I am a bit surprised since BSP, which is supposedly doing inflation targeting, remains cautious even despite inflation rates way below their policy rates,” Abola meanwhile commented.

    The Monetary Board in its previous meeting kept policy interest rates steady, at 7.5 percent for the overnight borrowing or reverse repurchase rate and 9.75 percent for the overnight lending or repurchase rate.  It also maintained the tiering scheme on bank placements with the BSP.

    These rates keep banks from channeling their funds to otherwise more productive economic activities such as the housing sector, Abola claimed.

    Other economists have described as a case of nervousness the BSP’s reservations that excess liquidity, which comes with lower rates, may threaten its 4 percent to 5 percent inflation target this year.

    At best inflation would be felt in financial asset prices but not the consumer price index, they added.

    “I think the BSP should review its tiering system and lower policy rates… which must be considered more for the short term [period] rather than the long term,” Abola said.

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