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  • "Small" budget deficit
    in 2008, if necessary
    By Mia M. Gonzalez
    Reporter

    HONG KONG (via PLDT)–President Arroyo said on Tuesday that the government may incur a "small" budget deficit this year if the US slowdown becomes "more prolonged" but maintained that "as of now," it continues to aim for a balanced budget in 2008.

    In a pooled media interview in her suite at the Grand Hyatt Hotel, the President said the country's creditors and the international financial community have indicated that they would not be averse to a budget deficit this year if there is increased tax collection and continued fiscal prudence.

    "As of now, our goal is still a balanced budget on the assumption that the US slowdown will be short....But we have to watch the situation. If the slowdown is more prolonged, and we discussed this with the creditors and the international financial community–they can understand, they will understand a small deficit as long as they see an increase in our tax effort," she said.

    The President said that the government will conduct a "periodic review" of "how the slowdown in t he US economy is growing, and that is the time when, if necessary, we will make adjustments on our balanced budget targetting."

    "But in any case, even if a decision is towards a small deficit, there will have to be an increase in the tax effort and spending must remain prudent. But as of now, at this point in time, the goal is still a balanced budget," she stressed.

    The Chief Executive added that the deficit, if incurred, "will be very targeted" and spent on the shelved fiscal stimulus package earlier proposed by Albay Gov. Joey Salceda, her economic adviser.

    "In any case, even if we should decide on a small deficit...the deficit will be very targeted. More or less the things that Joey Salceda enumerated, should be the target. It will go there. So it will still be prudent. The deficit will still be very prudently managed, if ever," she said.

    In January, Salceda had proposed a P75-billion economic stimulus package to cushion the country against the ill effects of a prolonged US slowdown, which includes P16 billion in tax rebates for middle class working families and P8 billion in power rate discounts for those consuming a maximum of 200 kilowatt hours per month; and increased spending for agriculture (P15 billion), food-for-school projects (P6), education (P6 billion), health (P4 billion), housing (P4 billion) and infrastructure (P16 billion).

    Economic managers have set aside the proposal as a "standby fund" in case the US slowdown worsens, and have, in the meantime, opted to frontload P45 billion for agriculture, education, health and infrastructure provided in the 2008 budget.

    The economic managers are expected to meet after the first quarter of the year to assess the impact of the US slowdown, and to determine whether it is time to

    consider Salceda's proposal.

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