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LAST
week:
The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi)
rebounded from three consecutive weeks of loss. Stock
prices rallied from oversold levels as bargain hunters
saw listed companies strong enough to go against the
trend set by the global-credit crisis. The PSEi rose
138.44 points or 4.9 percent week-on-week to 2,956.02 at
the end of trading Friday.
THIS
week:
“Although we are in a primary bear market at the moment,
we do expect the market to continue on with the current
technical rally. We are in a short-term bottom after
being relatively oversold,” AB Capital Securities stated
in its weekly outlook report.
Despite
the market’s latest performance, AB Capital said the
market wouldn’t turn positive on the bigger picture if
it doesn’t break out of the 3,000 level.
“We
should be testing [that] late next week. A successful
break would give the market a higher close than the
prior peaks of March. So far, the market has been able
to shrug off negative news and it has shown a lot of
resiliency. The concerns in the
US
have been placed on the back seat and traders have used
the lack of fresh negative news to step on the gas
pedal,” it added.
For his
part, market strategist Jonathan Ravelas of BDO-EPCIB
said the market might see a test of the 3,000-3,050
levels in the near-term as implied by last Friday’s
close.
A break
above 3,050 could bring about more gains toward 3,150.
Failure to break above 3,050 could trigger profit taking
and a retest of support at 2,850, he said.
STOCKS
to watch:
AB Capital advised investors to stay liquid in the
absence of clear signals in both fundamentals and
technicals that may influence the market. “For longer
term investors, they should stick to companies with
strong fundamentals,” it said. |