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    Crude-transport fees may decline
    for tenth-straight session

    LONDON—The cost of shipping Middle East crude to Asia, the world’s busiest market for owners, may drop for a 10th day as cargoes expected for April fail to emerge.

    Ship brokers Barry Rogliano Salles and SeaLeague AS have this week said that hire rates may stabilize and advance because oil-producing nations have completed cargo loading programs for the first half of April. Most of those have yet to materialize.

    “Even if the beginning of April starts good, it can quickly go quiet and fall again,” Per Mansson, a tanker broker at Nor Ocean Stockholm AB, said in an e-mailed note last week. “We need more” April cargoes “to get rates to turn.”

    Indian Oil Corp. Ltd., the nation’s biggest refiner, hired the tanker Titan Aries at a rate of 75 Worldscale points, according to a report last week from Barry Rogliano. That’s 17 percent below the London-based Baltic Exchange’s assessment of 89.84 points for a comparable cargo to Singapore.

    Titan Aries, built in 1988, has one hull separating its cargo from the ocean. The exchange’s assessment for Singapore voyages is for carriers built up to 20 years ago, of which 73 percent are fitted with full double hulls.

    Worldscale points are a percentage of a nominal rate, or flat rate, for more than 320,000 specific routes. Flat rates for every voyage, quoted in US dollars a metric ton, are revised annually by the Worldscale Association in London to reflect changing fuel costs, port tariffs and exchange rates.

    Each flat-rate assessment gives owners and oil companies a starting point for negotiating hire rates without having to calculate the value of each deal from scratch.

    At 89.84 Worldscale points, owners of double-hulled very large crude carriers, orVLCCs, can earn about $47,869 a day on a 25-day roundtrip from Saudi Arabia to Singapore, based on a formula by R.S. Platou, an Oslo-based ship broker, and marine fuel prices compiled by Bloomberg.

    Frontline Ltd., the world’s biggest VLCC operator, said February 15 it needs $31,400 a day to break even on each of its supertankers.

    Bookings for VLCCs sailing from the Middle East to Asia account for 47 percent of global demand for the carriers, according to New York-based McQuilling Brokerage Partners Llp.

    Shipments to the US and Caribbean, the second-biggest market, account for 14 percent of demand for supertankers. (Bloomberg)

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