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INDEPENDENT think tank Ibon Foundation said there is a
possibility that the government will resort to more
taxes this year to address the fiscal crisis and ensure
that it can continue its debt-servicing efforts.
Ibon
Research head Jose Enriquez Africa said the government’s
full-year 2007 deficit of P9.4 billion is the “lowest in
a decade” and that a closer look at the figures
foretells a possible fiscal crisis this year.
Africa
also said that revenue collections this year may not
improve since the government has not been able to
address large-scale corruption, as seen in the anomalous
ZTE broadband network deal and that the Bureau of
Internal Revenue (BIR) and the Bureau of Customs (BOC)
still failed to increase their tax collections.
“Revenue
collections in the coming year are unlikely to improve
because of the Arroyo administration’s dismal record in
addressing large-scale corruption, as shown by its
alleged attempts to cover up anomalies in the ZTE
broadband network deal, plus its continued policy on
liberalization, which similarly cost government billions
in foregone revenues because of tariff reductions and
eliminations,” Africa said in a statement.
Africa
said the BIR and the BOC collections in 2006 were
substantially lower than government targets. The BIR had
a revenue shortfall of P54.3 billion and the BOC, P17.7
billion.
He added
that if revenue collections do not improve in 2008, the
government will end up with a P68.4-billion deficit.
“Extrapolating revenues without privatization of P1,194
billion on the assumption that revenues increase by
8.1percent in 2008, less budgeted expenditures in the
national budget program of P1,227 billion and factoring
in targeted privatization revenues of P30 billion.
“This
also implies that government faces an underlying budget
deficit of P98.4 billion in 2008 if privatization
revenues are not factored in,” Ibon said.
Africa
said the only reason why the deficit was kept in check
was through one-time privatization revenues of P90.6
billion.
He added
that without these proceeds from the sale of government
assets, the 2007 budget deficit would have reached more
than P100 billion. |