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  • Opportunity, threat to
    RP from a US recession
     
    By Max V. de Leon
    Reporter

    THE good news, from American business: a recession in the US may prompt more firms there to resort to outsourcing to save on costs, and the Philippines is a prime candidate. The bad news: a recession there would hurt a sector already reeling as it is from the strong peso—the Philippine exporters.

    The American Chamber of Commerce (AmCham) believes the feared US recession—which many American economists and businessmen say is already a fact—could be an opportunity for the Philippines to get more investments because American firms would want to outsource more of their operations to save on costs.

    Rob Sears, AmCham executive director, said the Philippines must firm up its incentives regime and competitiveness, however, to get these potential American direct investments.

    Sears told the BusinessMirror that one of the natural courses of American companies, should the recession happen, is to look for suitable and cheaper locations elsewhere to put up their satellite operations.

    The Philippines, noted throughout the world as a prime business- outsourcing destination, is a good candidate, he added. This is, however, premised on the private-public sector work in improving the country’s competitiveness as an investment destination, and the ongoing discussions on the new fiscal-incentives law.

    As it is now, Sears said the Philippines is obviously lagging behind its neighboring countries in terms of competitiveness. He added that the proposals they submitted to improve the country’s standing are still being implemented by phases, and things are not going as fast as they hope.

    The foreign business chambers, along with various local industries, are also wary of the proposals from some quarters, including the Department of Finance, to remove fiscal incentives like income tax holidays.

    “The incentives and the competitiveness of the Philippines are important factors in getting these FDIs,” Sears said at the sidelines of the Makati Business Club Forum Tuesday at the Hotel Intercontinental.

    Sears said what will surely be hit, should there be a recession in the US, is Philippine exports there. “It will be more difficult because the dollar will continue to weaken, and with the people having less disposable income, imports will naturally go down.”

    The US is the Philippines’ perennial top export market.

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