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  • Oil-tariff cut just unalloyed
    tokenism–solons

    THE planned energy summit should not be—as one lawmaker put it—just Malacañang talking to itself, but a real one to take up proposals to prepare the country for worse times and craft doable measures that can quickly ease the public pain from rising oil prices.

                    Among the measures raised are suspending the VAT on fuel, getting the government in the lead on energy savings, putting the public-transport system in order such as reducing in lean passenger hours the practically empty public vehicles that keep plying their routes, and discount coupons for public-utility vehicles.

                    The lively public discussion on the problem was very evident on Wednesday when senators raised the question of whether the 1-percent oil tariff reduction was just for show and hardly touched fuel pump prices.

                    The lawmakers showed the faulty math beneath government calculations on the tariff cut that showed it would be “revenue-neutral” while, the  government said, the oil E-VAT suspension that senators are pushing will cost the government so much more and prevent it from providing services to people.

                    Sen. Francis Escudero said the government likely erred—if not downright calculated the costs for show—in adopting a lower trigger for completely scrapping the 3-percent oil tariff that under President Arroyo’s order would only be zero-rated if Dubai crude hits $106 a barrel.

                    He added that if Malacañang’s motive in reducing the tariff on oil is to signal the President’s concern on rising oil prices, “then it clearly fell short of its target, because a 1-percent cut, by any standard, is unalloyed tokenism. The math on oil would show that forgone revenues from the complete scrapping of the tariff on oil will be recouped by the government from the windfall in VAT she so dearly loves.”

                    The government’s P54-billion projected take from the E-VAT on crude oil and finished petroleum products, according to Escudero, was premised on an average $66 price a barrel of Dubai crude—when the rate is now hovering at $93 per barrel.

                    He explained that while the revenue forecast was anchored on a higher P46 to P48 to the dollar exchange at which rates the government would be right in its calculations, the rise in oil prices has, however, outpaced the surge of the peso that is now on the verge of breaching the P40 to the dollar rate.

                    He thus estimated that the real figures are more like these: every $10-increase on the price of oil would increase E-VAT and tariff collection by P6.2 billion a year, based on a P41:$1 rate and 276,500 barrels a day consumption. “In the end, the government is a winner. Its bottom line is secure.”

                    Other opposition and administration senators suggested, on the other hand, that Malacañang should have kept an open mind on proposals to scrap the E-VAT on oil. On this, Escudero indicated that at the very least, the Palace should consider adopting a “sliding E-VAT rate for oil” that would ordain lower VAT rates when oil prices are on the rise.

                    “Malacañang’s intransigence on this matter shows that the much-ballyhooed oil summit is all for show. It will be a scripted monologue because the government will only be talking to itself,” said Escudero as he advised the President to “start thinking outside of the barrel if she so desires to provide an act of solidarity with the people who are reeling from expensive oil.”

                    Sen. Mar Roxas, who has been pushing for the oil E-VAT’s suspension, recommended that the government exert extra effort to increase its tax-collection efficiency before shunning Senate proposals. “First of all, the government can make the collections much more efficient. Second, why are they passing on to us the problem of their ineffectivity, their inability to perform their duty?”

                    In effect, he said, state agencies are saying “they can’t do their task and [have to] keep collecting VAT on oil products. Let’s turn this equation a bit: Do your job well, give back to us our money, because we need it at this time.”

                    Roxas argued that the government’s fiscal conditions have so improved in the past four years that it could effectively deal with the impact of P20-billion forgone revenue in suspending the VAT on petroleum products for six months.

                    “The sickness of the economy four years ago was fiscal crisis, and we solved this with the VAT. Now, the economy and the circumstances in the world have changed. To keep applying the same cure to a sickness that is no longer present is wrong policy. The present sickness is the very, very high cost of living, principally brought about by $100 oil per barrel,” he said.

                    Roxas further tried to show the penny ante thinking of the administration, noting that the economy is now in excess of about P5 trillion. “The government’s budget is P1.3 trillion. We’re looking at budget equality, with no deficit this year. So P20-P30 billion is nothing in the bigger scheme of things.”

                    Roxas said by removing for a time the VAT on oil, “in effect, we [would be] pump[ing] P4 with each liter of diesel, P65 with each 11-kilo LPG tank, back into the economy, and give our people much-needed relief.”

                    The IBON independent think-tank has a similar take on the matter. It believes the oil tariff cut has not only failed to address high pump prices, but that the Arroyo government has “defaulted on its responsibility to collect revenues, all in favor of the oil companies.”

                    IBON executive editor Rosario Bella Guzman said, “by choosing to remove tariffs on oil imports as a solution to high oil prices, the government is protecting the interests of the oil firms at the expense of potential revenues that should be used to fund vital social services such as health and education.”

                    A more effective solution to the problem of high oil prices would be the lifting of VAT on oil products, she said in clear agreement with the senators.

                    Guzman said, however, the “only permanent solution to high oil prices is nationalization of the local oil industry, starting with the repeal of the oil deregulation law. The oil industry is vital to the country’s economic development, and as such should be regulated by the government.”

                    Other suggestions from senators include President Arroyo directly facing the oil shock problem from the demand side by making the government the leader by example in energy conservation, by easing traffic in cities because gridlock adds up to the national oil bill,  by calling for surcharges on gas-guzzling luxury cars, and by tapping renewable sources of energy that  will displace fossil fuel.

                    On alternative energy sources, Sen. Loren Legarda prodded the President to fast-track the government’s commitment to reduce Philippine dependence on imported oil, and also lamented the oil tariff reduction was not enough and could not be expected to bring down pump-level fuel prices.

                    Administration Sen. Miguel Zubiri agreed with Senate colleagues the 1-percent oil tariff cut was not enough, adding he supports Senate initiatives to suspend the E-VAT on oil which, he computed, could mean a discount of P5 to P6 per liter.

                    “My proposal is to permanently remove it,” he said citing a pending bill he earlier filed to exempt fuel and electricity from the E-VAT.

                    Sen. Panfilo Lacson proposed fuel discount coupons for public utility drivers so the maximum effect of the tariff cut will benefit only those who need it most.

                    Similarly, he called on the National Police leadership to intensify efforts to curb kotong and other extortion activities that usually victimize lowly drivers and transport operators.

                    Lacson also asked the LTFRB to run against colorum bus operators, and terminate once and for all their continued illegal operations. “We have a glut of empty buses running in our streets, wasting fuel, causing heavy traffic that in turn wastes more fuel, simply because the DOTC is unable to implement the law properly.”  --B. Fernandez

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